{"id":101280,"date":"2026-03-08T00:21:57","date_gmt":"2026-03-07T23:21:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=101280"},"modified":"2026-03-07T12:09:03","modified_gmt":"2026-03-07T11:09:03","slug":"sokujici-zprava-pro-evropu-rusko-odklani-plyn-do-asie-valka-s-iranem-zvysuje-ceny-a-hrozi-ze-v-evrope-vyvola-dalsi-cenovy-sok","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/03\/08\/sokujici-zprava-pro-evropu-rusko-odklani-plyn-do-asie-valka-s-iranem-zvysuje-ceny-a-hrozi-ze-v-evrope-vyvola-dalsi-cenovy-sok\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0160okuj\u00edc\u00ed zpr\u00e1va pro Evropu: Rusko odkl\u00e1n\u00ed plyn do Asie \u2013 v\u00e1lka s \u00cdr\u00e1nem zvy\u0161uje ceny a hroz\u00ed, \u017ee v Evrop\u011b vyvol\u00e1 dal\u0161\u00ed cenov\u00fd \u0161ok"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-1fb4c2c elementor-widget elementor-widget-theme-post-content\" data-id=\"1fb4c2c\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"theme-post-content.default\">\n<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Rusko odkl\u00e1n\u00ed toky plynu na v\u00fdchod \u2013 \u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 v\u00e1lka m\u011bn\u00ed glob\u00e1ln\u00ed energetickou architekturu<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Rusko ozn\u00e1milo\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.marketscreener.com\/news\/russia-weighs-redirecting-lng-exports-from-europe-to-asia-pacific-media-quote-novak-as-saying-ce7e5fd8dc8fff24\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/www.marketscreener.com\/news\/russia-weighs-redirecting-lng-exports-from-europe-to-asia-pacific-media-quote-novak-as-saying-ce7e5fd8dc8fff24?utm_source=chatgpt.com\"><span dir=\"auto\">pl\u00e1ny<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0na p\u0159esm\u011brov\u00e1n\u00ed dod\u00e1vek plynu d\u0159\u00edve ur\u010den\u00e9ho pro Evropu do \u010c\u00edny, Indie, Thajska a na Filip\u00edny. M\u00edstop\u0159edseda vl\u00e1dy Alexandr Novak potvrdil, \u017ee jedn\u00e1n\u00ed ji\u017e prob\u00edhaj\u00ed. Sou\u010dasn\u011b t\u0159i tankery s LNG ji\u017e zm\u011bnily sv\u00e9 trasy a opustily evropsk\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edstavy a zam\u00ed\u0159ily k asijsk\u00fdm z\u00e1kazn\u00edk\u016fm, kte\u0159\u00ed v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b plat\u00ed v\u00fdrazn\u011b vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed spotov\u00e9 ceny.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">P\u0159e\u010dt\u011bte si tak\u00e9 na\u0161i anal\u00fdzu:\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/uncutnews.ch\/krieg-gegen-den-iran-brics-staaten-legen-schritt-fur-schritt-ihre-position-offen-endspiel-zwischen-dem-westen-und-der-aufsteigenden-multipolaren-ordnung-zeichnet-sich-ab\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/uncutnews.ch\/krieg-gegen-den-iran-brics-staaten-legen-schritt-fur-schritt-ihre-position-offen-endspiel-zwischen-dem-westen-und-der-aufsteigenden-multipolaren-ordnung-zeichnet-sich-ab\/\"><strong><span dir=\"auto\">V\u00e1lka proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu: St\u00e1ty BRICS krok za krokem odhaluj\u00ed svou pozici \u2013 r\u00fdsuje se koncovka mezi Z\u00e1padem a rostouc\u00edm multipol\u00e1rn\u00edm \u0159\u00e1dem.<\/span><\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Z\u00e1padn\u00ed m\u00e9dia tento krok \u010dasto vykresluj\u00ed jako jak\u00e9si politick\u00e9 trestn\u00e9 opat\u0159en\u00ed Ruska v\u016f\u010di Evrop\u011b. Realita se v\u0161ak \u0159\u00edd\u00ed mnohem jednodu\u0161\u0161\u00edm, ale drsn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm mechanismem: Rusko se \u0159\u00edd\u00ed tr\u017en\u00edmi cenami. A ty se v d\u016fsledku ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 eskalace na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b dramaticky posunuly na v\u00fdchod. Spou\u0161t\u011b\u010dem je v\u00e1lka s \u00cdr\u00e1nem a zejm\u00e9na americk\u00e9 leteck\u00e9 \u00fadery, kter\u00e9 b\u011bhem n\u011bkolika dn\u00ed ot\u0159\u00e1sly energetick\u00fdmi trhy.<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"twitter-tweet twitter-tweet-rendered\"><iframe id=\"twitter-widget-0\" class=\"\" title=\"X Post\" src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/embed\/Tweet.html?dnt=false&amp;embedId=twitter-widget-0&amp;features=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%3D%3D&amp;frame=false&amp;hideCard=false&amp;hideThread=false&amp;id=2030127402148581600&amp;lang=cs&amp;origin=https%3A%2F%2Funcutnews.ch%2Fschock-meldung-fuer-europa-russland-lenkt-gas-nach-asien-um-der-iran-krieg-treibt-die-preise-in-die-hoehe-und-droht-den-naechsten-preisschock-fuer-europa-auszuloesen%2F&amp;sessionId=122a4e84bfbc2babf07cab24caa2559fac5f1687&amp;theme=light&amp;widgetsVersion=2615f7e52b7e0%3A1702314776716&amp;width=550px\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" data-tweet-id=\"2030127402148581600\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">P\u0159ed 28. \u00fanorem se cena evropsk\u00e9ho plynu TTF pohybovala kolem 35 eur za megawatthodinu. Do 6. b\u0159ezna se cena ust\u00e1lila na 52,81 euru \u2013 co\u017e p\u0159edstavuje n\u00e1r\u016fst p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b o 50 procent b\u011bhem m\u011bs\u00edce. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 explodovaly asijsk\u00e9 ceny: spotov\u00e9 dod\u00e1vky JKM nyn\u00ed p\u0159esahuj\u00ed 20 USD za milion BTU. Banglad\u00e9\u0161 dokonce platil za nouzov\u00e9 dod\u00e1vky 28,28 USD za milion BTU. To vytvo\u0159ilo obrovskou arbitr\u00e1\u017en\u00ed p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost. LNG, kter\u00fd by se prod\u00e1val za dlouhodob\u00e9 evropsk\u00e9 smluvn\u00ed ceny, lze v Asii obchodovat s masivn\u00edmi krizov\u00fdmi pr\u00e9miemi \u2013 situace, kter\u00e1 se naposledy vyskytla b\u011bhem energetick\u00e9 krize v roce 2022.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Struktur\u00e1ln\u00ed zm\u011bny tento efekt zesiluj\u00ed. V roce 2025 dodalo Rusko do Evropy p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 13,8 milionu tun LNG. Evropsk\u00e1 unie se z\u00e1rove\u0148 rozhodla postupn\u011b sni\u017eovat dovoz rusk\u00e9ho plynu. Kr\u00e1tkodob\u00e9 smlouvy na LNG budou zak\u00e1z\u00e1ny od konce dubna. \u00dapln\u00fd z\u00e1kaz dovozu rusk\u00e9ho LNG m\u00e1 vstoupit v platnost do konce roku a od roku 2027 bude dod\u00e1v\u00e1n pouze plynovodn\u00ed plyn. Moskva na tuto politiku nereaguje odporem, ale sp\u00ed\u0161e ji strategicky vyu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1. Ka\u017ed\u00e1 dod\u00e1vka LNG odklon\u011bn\u00e1 do Asie p\u0159ed vstupem t\u011bchto z\u00e1kaz\u016f v platnost m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt p\u0159evedena na dlouhodob\u00e9 smlouvy se z\u00e1kazn\u00edky, kte\u0159\u00ed nebudou Rusko pr\u00e1vn\u011b vytla\u010dovat z obchodn\u00edho vztahu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Tento v\u00fdvoj se shoduje s mimo\u0159\u00e1dnou s\u00e9ri\u00ed soub\u011b\u017en\u00fdch energetick\u00fdch kriz\u00ed. Po \u00fatoku dronu na termin\u00e1l LNG Ras Laffan 2. b\u0159ezna byl Katar nucen vyhl\u00e1sit vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed moc, co\u017e vedlo k naru\u0161en\u00ed p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 20 procent celosv\u011btov\u00fdch dod\u00e1vek LNG. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 asij\u0161t\u00ed a evrop\u0161t\u00ed kupci nyn\u00ed soupe\u0159\u00ed o ka\u017edou dostupnou cisternovou p\u0159epravu po mo\u0159i. Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv je fakticky uzav\u0159en kv\u016fli v\u00fdb\u011br\u016fm poji\u0161\u0165oven a vojensk\u00e9 eskalaci. Za t\u011bchto okolnost\u00ed z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 Rusko jedin\u00fdm v\u00fdznamn\u00fdm v\u00fdvozcem energie, jeho\u017e dodavatelsk\u00e9 \u0159et\u011bzce neproch\u00e1zej\u00ed ani Persk\u00fdm z\u00e1livem, ani Hormuzsk\u00fdm pr\u016flivem. D\u00edky tomu je Rusko v sou\u010dasnosti jedin\u00fdm producentem schopn\u00fdm z\u00e1sobovat asijsk\u00e9 trhy, ani\u017e by p\u0159epravoval LNG p\u0159es aktivn\u00ed v\u00e1le\u010dnou z\u00f3nu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Zda byla tato situace strategicky napl\u00e1nov\u00e1na, je nakonec druho\u0159ad\u00e9. Struktur\u00e1ln\u00ed stav trh\u016f tento efekt automaticky vyvol\u00e1v\u00e1. Ka\u017ed\u00fd dolar, o kter\u00fd cena ropy Brent vzroste nad 70 dolar\u016f, p\u0159in\u00e1\u0161\u00ed Rusku ro\u010dn\u011b zhruba miliardu dolar\u016f dodate\u010dn\u00fdch st\u00e1tn\u00edch p\u0159\u00edjm\u016f. Sou\u010dasn\u00e9 spotov\u00e9 pr\u00e9mie za LNG tento efekt zna\u010dn\u011b zesiluj\u00ed. V\u00e1lka s \u00cdr\u00e1nem se tak st\u00e1v\u00e1 jednou z nejziskov\u011bj\u0161\u00edch ud\u00e1lost\u00ed pro rusk\u00fd st\u00e1tn\u00ed rozpo\u010det od cenov\u00e9ho \u0161oku v roce 2022 \u2013 a Moskva k tomu nemusela odp\u00e1lit jedinou raketu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Dal\u0161\u00ed sign\u00e1l p\u0159i\u0161el z Washingtonu 6. b\u0159ezna. Ministerstvo financ\u00ed USA ud\u011blilo 30denn\u00ed v\u00fdjimku, kter\u00e1 Indii umo\u017e\u0148uje pokra\u010dovat v p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9m n\u00e1kupu rusk\u00e9 ropy. Toto rozhodnut\u00ed v kone\u010dn\u00e9m d\u016fsledku potvrzuje to, co si energetick\u00e9 trhy ji\u017e uv\u011bdomily: Vzhledem k nejist\u00fdm dod\u00e1vk\u00e1m z oblasti Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu a \u010d\u00e1ste\u010dn\u00e9mu selh\u00e1n\u00ed Kataru ji\u017e rusk\u00e1 energie nen\u00ed sankcionovanou komoditou, kter\u00e9 je t\u0159eba se vyh\u00fdbat. V sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b je to jednodu\u0161e jedin\u00e1 spolehliv\u011b dostupn\u00e1 alternativa.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Evropa se tak ocit\u00e1 v paradoxn\u00ed situaci. Ceny plynu rostou p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b o 50 procent, co\u017e je zp\u016fsobeno v\u00e1lkou, kterou Evropa ani neza\u010dala, ani ji geograficky nem\u016f\u017ee kontrolovat. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 dod\u00e1vky, kter\u00e9 se Evropa ji\u017e politicky sna\u017eila omezit, nyn\u00ed p\u0159evy\u0161uj\u00ed asij\u0161t\u00ed kupci. Tankery LNG, kter\u00e9 nyn\u00ed m\u00ed\u0159\u00ed na v\u00fdchod, p\u0159epravuj\u00ed rusk\u00fd plyn tam, kde se plat\u00ed nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed cena. A Asie \u2013 se siln\u011bj\u0161\u00edmi ve\u0159ejn\u00fdmi financemi a nal\u00e9hav\u011bj\u0161\u00ed energetickou pot\u0159ebou \u2013 v t\u011bchto aukc\u00edch t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 v\u017edy p\u0159evy\u0161uje Evropu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Rusko v tomto p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b nezneu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 energii. D\u011bl\u00e1 to samotn\u00e1 v\u00e1lka. Moskva pouze plat\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">D\u016fsledky pro Evropu by mohly b\u00fdt zna\u010dn\u00e9. Pokud budou dod\u00e1vky LNG st\u00e1le v\u00edce odkl\u00e1n\u011bny do Asie a z\u00e1rove\u0148 bude v\u00fdvoz energie z Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu naru\u0161en nebo nejist\u00fd kv\u016fli v\u00e1lce s \u00cdr\u00e1nem, ohro\u017euje dal\u0161\u00ed masivn\u00ed cenov\u00fd \u0161ok evropsk\u00e9 trhy s plynem a elekt\u0159inou. Asij\u0161t\u00ed kupuj\u00edc\u00ed ji\u017e nyn\u00ed sout\u011b\u017e\u00ed s Evropou o ka\u017edou dostupnou n\u00e1lo\u017e a \u200b\u200bjsou \u010dasto ochotni platit podstatn\u011b vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed ceny. To by mohlo trvale p\u0159esm\u011brovat dod\u00e1vky, kter\u00e9 d\u0159\u00edve sm\u011b\u0159ovaly do Evropy, na asijsk\u00e9 trhy, kde se vyjedn\u00e1vaj\u00ed dlouhodob\u00e9 smlouvy. Pro evropsk\u00fd pr\u016fmysl by to znamenalo dal\u0161\u00ed ztr\u00e1tu levn\u00e9 energie \u2013 s rostouc\u00edmi v\u00fdrobn\u00edmi n\u00e1klady, rostouc\u00edm infla\u010dn\u00edm tlakem a zrychlenou deindustrializac\u00ed v n\u011bkter\u00fdch \u010d\u00e1stech EU.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-8c57238 quelle dc-has-condition dc-condition-empty elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"8c57238\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n<h3 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\"><span style=\"font-size: 10pt;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/business\/energy\/russia-weighs-redirecting-lng-exports-europe-asia-pacific-media-quote-novak-2026-03-06\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\">Zdroj<\/span><\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Rusko odkl\u00e1n\u00ed toky plynu na v\u00fdchod \u2013 \u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 v\u00e1lka m\u011bn\u00ed glob\u00e1ln\u00ed energetickou architekturu Rusko ozn\u00e1milo\u00a0pl\u00e1ny\u00a0na&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":101281,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[760,283,371,1008,22],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/101280"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=101280"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/101280\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/101281"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=101280"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=101280"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=101280"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}