{"id":101163,"date":"2026-03-06T05:54:58","date_gmt":"2026-03-06T04:54:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=101163"},"modified":"2026-03-06T05:54:58","modified_gmt":"2026-03-06T04:54:58","slug":"ivo-strejcek-dusledky-valky-s-iranem-mohou-byt-pro-zapad-velmi-zle","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/03\/06\/ivo-strejcek-dusledky-valky-s-iranem-mohou-byt-pro-zapad-velmi-zle\/","title":{"rendered":"Ivo Strej\u010dek: D\u016fsledky v\u00e1lky s \u00cdr\u00e1nem mohou b\u00fdt pro Z\u00e1pad velmi zl\u00e9"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<div>\u201eKl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e1 \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 st\u0159ediska na obohacov\u00e1n\u00ed uranu byla naprosto a \u00fapln\u011b zni\u010dena,\u201c prohl\u00e1sil po americk\u00e9m n\u00e1letu na \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 centra Fordo, Natanz a Istaf\u00e1n v\u00a0\u010dervnu 2025 americk\u00fd prezident Trump a dodal, \u017ee \u201e\u00fadery byly vedeny zni\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed silou, kterou nedisponuje \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 ozbrojen\u00e1 s\u00edla na sv\u011bt\u011b krom\u011b USA\u201c. Jeho spojenec i ideov\u00fd autor\u00a0lo\u0148sk\u00e9 \u201edvan\u00e1ctidenn\u00ed v\u00e1lky\u201c proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu, izraelsk\u00fd premi\u00e9r Netanjahu, vychv\u00e1lil celou vojenskou operaci s\u00a0n\u00e1zvem \u201eVzestup lva\u201c slovy, \u017ee jde o \u201ehistorick\u00e9 v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed, kter\u00e9 p\u0159etrv\u00e1 generace\u201c.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>V\u00a0sobotu 28. \u00fanora 2026 za\u010dal spole\u010dn\u00fd \u00fatok americk\u00fdch a izraelsk\u00fdch ozbrojen\u00fdch sil na \u00cdr\u00e1n pod n\u00e1zvem \u201eLv\u00ed \u0159ev\u201c. Navzdory onomu historick\u00e9mu v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed, kter\u00e9 p\u0159etrv\u00e1 generace! Z\u00a0toho se Netanjahu vyvl\u00e9knul slovy, \u017ee \u201elev za\u0159val a cel\u00fd sv\u011bt to sly\u0161\u00ed\u201c, nebo\u0165 \u201ezvuk izraelsk\u00fdch letadel a b\u011bs v\u00fdbuch\u016f v\u00a0Teher\u00e1nu, je \u201e\u0159vem lva, kter\u00fd oznamuje konec tyranie\u201c. Zp\u00e1tky se moc nedr\u017eel ani Donald Trump, kdy\u017e ze sv\u00e9ho floridsk\u00e9ho s\u00eddla a skrze svoji soci\u00e1ln\u00ed s\u00ed\u0165 ozn\u00e1mil za\u010d\u00e1tek americko-izraelsk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 operace proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu. Na podporu leteck\u00fdch \u00fatok\u016f si vysta\u010dil s\u00a0obvykl\u00fdm ozna\u010den\u00edm \u00cdr\u00e1nu jako \u201eteroristick\u00e9 zem\u011b tou\u017e\u00edc\u00ed po nukle\u00e1rn\u00edch zbran\u00edch a podporuj\u00edc\u00ed celosv\u011btov\u00fd terorismus\u201c, sou\u010dasn\u011b v\u0161ak \u2013 a to je nov\u00e9 \u2013 vzk\u00e1zal \u00cdr\u00e1nc\u016fm, \u017ee \u201emy ud\u011bl\u00e1me svou pr\u00e1ci, a vy si vezmete svoji zemi do vlastn\u00edch rukou\u201c.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>Ne, nem\u00e1m v\u00a0\u00famyslu obhajovat po desetilet\u00ed stra\u0161n\u00fd teokratick\u00fd \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd re\u017eim, n\u011bkolik pozn\u00e1mek, snad i ot\u00e1zek, se v\u0161ak v\u00a0souvislosti s\u00a0touto nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed v\u00e1lkou nab\u00edz\u00ed a ty zm\u00ednit chci.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>Ta prvn\u00ed je zcela zjevn\u00e1: bylo bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch jadern\u00fdch za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed p\u0159ed osmi m\u011bs\u00edci tak \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00e9, jak n\u00e1m Trump i Netanjahu tvrdili? Vzpome\u0148me si, \u017ee tehdy byli \u00fadajn\u011b zabiti, krom\u011b \u0161pi\u010dkov\u00fdch vojensk\u00fdch velitel\u016f, i v\u011bdeck\u00e9 veli\u010diny \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho jadern\u00e9ho programu a na televizn\u00edch obrazovk\u00e1ch n\u00e1m byly p\u0159edv\u00e1d\u011bny detailn\u00ed fotografie zcela zni\u010den\u00fdch podzemn\u00edch jadern\u00fdch za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed. Byla to pravda, nebo se tehdy Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 trefili u\u017e jen do pr\u00e1zdn\u00fdch a opu\u0161t\u011bn\u00fdch prostor, kde mo\u017en\u00e1 p\u0159ed p\u00e1r t\u00fddny skute\u010dn\u011b jadern\u00e1 v\u00fdzkumn\u00e1 \u010di vojensk\u00e1 pracovi\u0161t\u011b je\u0161t\u011b byla?<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>Nebyli jsme tehdy ob\u011bt\u00ed politick\u00e9 blam\u00e1\u017ee, kdy\u017e po osmi m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch znovu sly\u0161\u00edme, \u017ee jedn\u00edm z\u00a0c\u00edl\u016f dne\u0161n\u00ed v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 operace je \u201enep\u0159ipustit vlastnictv\u00ed nukle\u00e1rn\u00edch zbran\u00ed \u00cdr\u00e1nu\u201c? A pokud ano, pro\u010d bychom dnes nem\u011bli b\u00fdt ob\u011bt\u00ed n\u011b\u010deho podobn\u00e9ho? Co\u017e jsme podobn\u00e1 slova zd\u016fvod\u0148uj\u00edc\u00ed invazi do Ir\u00e1ku p\u0159ed lety u\u017e neza\u017eili?<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>Mysl\u00edm, \u017ee hlavn\u00edm c\u00edlem dne\u0161n\u00ed v\u00e1lky s\u00a0\u00cdr\u00e1nem z\u0159ejm\u011b bylo vyu\u017e\u00edt hrozby \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed ke zm\u011bn\u011b tamn\u00edho re\u017eimu. Pokud ano, pak je d\u016fvodn\u00e9 ob\u00e1vat se velk\u00e9 historick\u00e9 chyby Ameri\u010dan\u016f i Izraelc\u016f.<\/div>\n<div>Je samoz\u0159ejm\u011b mo\u017en\u00e9, a Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 to p\u0159edvedli, \u201ejednou ranou\u201c zbavit zemi jej\u00edho politick\u00e9ho a vojensk\u00e9ho veden\u00ed, ale co d\u00e1l? Pro zm\u011bnu re\u017eimu je t\u0159eba podpory v\u011bt\u0161inov\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti obyvatelstva. \u00cdr\u00e1n m\u00e1 v\u00edce ne\u017e 90 mili\u00f3n\u016f obyvatel. Jen 10 mili\u00f3n\u016f \u017eije v\u00a0Teher\u00e1nu, zbytek jsou \u201evesni\u010dan\u00e9\u201c. Maj\u00ed stejn\u00e9 c\u00edle a motivace jako ti v metropoli? Je vnit\u0159n\u011b velmi heterogenn\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 spole\u010dnost p\u0159ipravena na zm\u011bnu re\u017eimu, kter\u00e1 \u201eby byla dlouhodob\u011b naklon\u011bn\u00e1 Z\u00e1padu\u201c (jak se ptaj\u00ed koment\u00e1to\u0159i americk\u00fdch televiz\u00ed)? Je mo\u017en\u00e9 podpo\u0159it zm\u011bnu re\u017eimu pouze leteck\u00fdmi operacemi, nebo by na \u00fazem\u00ed hornat\u00e9ho a mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u011b slo\u017eit\u00e9ho \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho \u00fazem\u00ed museli vstoupit ameri\u010dt\u00ed voj\u00e1ci? Lze si v\u016fbec p\u0159edstavit hr\u016fzn\u00e9 d\u016fsledky takov\u00e9ho rozhodnut\u00ed?<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>Sotva p\u0159ed p\u00e1r hodinami Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 \u201eubrali p\u00e1ru\u201c a slovy ministra obrany Hegsetha i prezidenta Trumpa definovali sv\u00e9 c\u00edle u\u017e trochu jinak: eliminovat \u00edr\u00e1nskou n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed s\u00edlu, dramaticky omezit schopnost \u00cdr\u00e1nu vyr\u00e1b\u011bt balistick\u00e9 st\u0159ely a vym\u00fdtit \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 ambice vlastnit jadern\u00e9 zbran\u011b. O zm\u011bn\u011b re\u017eimu u\u017e se moc nemluv\u00ed.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>A u\u017e v\u016fbec se nemluv\u00ed o izraelsk\u00e9m anga\u017em\u00e1 a izraelsk\u00fdch c\u00edlech, a\u010d je v\u00edce ne\u017e jasn\u00e9, \u017ee hlavn\u00edm architektem nov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky s\u00a0\u00cdr\u00e1nem je znovu a opakovan\u011b Netanjahu. Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 se zase, pokolik\u00e1t\u00e9 u\u017e, nechali zat\u00e1hnout Izraelci do v\u00e1lky, kter\u00e1 lidi v\u00a0americk\u00fdch Montan\u011b, Georgii nebo Utahu v\u016fbec nezaj\u00edm\u00e1 (tedy pokud nebudou muset na druh\u00fd konec sv\u011bta pos\u00edlat sv\u00e9 kluky). Bleskov\u00fd pr\u016fzkum ve\u0159ejn\u00e9ho m\u00edn\u011bn\u00ed v\u00a0USA tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee 59 % dot\u00e1zan\u00fdch je proti \u00fader\u016fm v\u00a0\u00cdr\u00e1nu, a dokonce \u017ee drtiv\u00e1 v\u011bt\u0161ina dot\u00e1zan\u00fdch ve v\u011bku mezi 18-34 lety v\u00e1lku s\u00a0\u00cdr\u00e1nem z\u00e1sadn\u011b odm\u00edt\u00e1.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>My bychom si m\u011bli polo\u017eit v\u00e1\u017enou ot\u00e1zku, co sou\u010dasn\u00e1 v\u00e1lka na St\u0159edn\u00edm v\u00fdchod\u011b znamen\u00e1 pro \u010ceskou republiku a jak bychom v\u00a0t\u00e9to situaci m\u011bli definovat na\u0161e z\u00e1jmy:<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\u2013\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Hlavn\u00edm z\u00e1jmem by m\u011blo b\u00fdt nenechat se Netanjahuem vt\u00e1hnout do v\u00e1lky, kter\u00e1 nen\u00ed na\u0161e, ale jej\u00ed\u017e d\u016fsledky z\u0159ejm\u011b nejv\u00edc vyhovuj\u00ed Izraeli \u2013 tedy pracovat na co nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edm oslaben\u00ed st\u00e1t\u016f St\u0159edn\u00edho a Bl\u00edzk\u00e9ho v\u00fdchodu, \u010d\u00edm\u017e by se z Izraele stal kone\u010dn\u011b dominantn\u00ed hegemon cel\u00e9ho regionu;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\u2013\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u010cesk\u00fdm z\u00e1jmem by m\u011blo b\u00fdt urychlen\u00e9 ukon\u010den\u00ed tamn\u00ed v\u00e1lky, nebo\u0165 na\u0161\u00edm vlastn\u00edm rozhodnut\u00edm jsme zcela od\u0159\u00edznuti od dod\u00e1vek rusk\u00e9 ropy a plynu, a proto p\u0159\u00edmo z\u00e1visl\u00ed na stabilit\u011b dod\u00e1vek z\u00a0jin\u00fdch \u010d\u00e1st\u00ed sv\u011bta (tedy i St\u0159edn\u00edho v\u00fdchodu);<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\u2013\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 A na\u0161\u00edm z\u00e1jmem by snad m\u011bl b\u00fdt i stabiln\u00ed St\u0159edn\u00ed a Bl\u00edzk\u00fd v\u00fdchod. Pokud dojde k\u00a0dal\u0161\u00edmu stup\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed nep\u0159\u00e1telstv\u00ed v\u00a0tomto regionu, snadno se v\u0161e p\u0159elije do v\u00fdchodn\u00edho St\u0159edomo\u0159\u00ed (co\u017e u\u017e se po kr\u016f\u010dc\u00edch d\u011bje), rozkym\u00e1c\u00ed u\u017e beztak neklidn\u00fd arabsk\u00fd sv\u011bt a vyvol\u00e1 dal\u0161\u00ed a mohutnou migra\u010dn\u00ed vlnu sm\u011b\u0159uj\u00edc\u00ed do Evropy.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>Chceme-li v\u00e1\u017en\u011b br\u00e1nit \u010desk\u00e9 z\u00e1jmy, a to by c\u00edlem na\u0161\u00ed zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politiky b\u00fdt m\u011blo, m\u011bli bychom v\u0161e \u0159\u00edkat otev\u0159en\u011b do o\u010d\u00ed Ameri\u010dan\u016fm, Izraelc\u016fm i \u010desk\u00e9 nekriticky proizraelsk\u00e9 politice i m\u00e9di\u00edm.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>Izraelsko \u2013 americk\u00fd \u201eLv\u00ed \u0159ev\u201c a jeho d\u016fsledky skute\u010dn\u011b v\u00a0na\u0161em n\u00e1rodn\u00edm z\u00e1jmu nejsou podobn\u011b, jako mohou b\u00fdt velmi zl\u00e9 pro cel\u00fd Z\u00e1pad.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div><em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.institutvk.cz\/clanky\/3346.html\">Ivo Strej\u010dek<\/a>, 3. 3. 2026<\/em><\/div>\n<div><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/www.institutvk.cz\/files\/autori\/8.png\" width=\"178\" height=\"179\" \/><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201eKl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e1 \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 st\u0159ediska na obohacov\u00e1n\u00ed uranu byla naprosto a \u00fapln\u011b zni\u010dena,\u201c prohl\u00e1sil po americk\u00e9m n\u00e1letu&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":81813,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1042,38,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/101163"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=101163"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/101163\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/81813"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=101163"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=101163"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=101163"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}