{"id":101099,"date":"2026-03-06T00:23:46","date_gmt":"2026-03-05T23:23:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=101099"},"modified":"2026-03-05T12:21:24","modified_gmt":"2026-03-05T11:21:24","slug":"usa-cina-a-ctyrtydenni-lhuta-pro-valku-proti-iranu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/03\/06\/usa-cina-a-ctyrtydenni-lhuta-pro-valku-proti-iranu\/","title":{"rendered":"USA, \u010c\u00edna a \u010dty\u0159t\u00fddenn\u00ed lh\u016fta pro v\u00e1lku proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu"},"content":{"rendered":"
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V\u00e1lka proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu pokra\u010duje \u2013 a je\u0161t\u011b n\u011bjakou dobu bude pokra\u010dovat. Teher\u00e1n je bombardov\u00e1n a srovn\u00e1v\u00e1n se zem\u00ed, uhlovod\u00edkov\u00e1 infrastruktura v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu je uzav\u00edr\u00e1na nebo po\u0161kozov\u00e1na a za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 se projevovat ekonomick\u00fd tlak na glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomiku.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u017d\u00e1dn\u00fd z t\u011bchto faktor\u016f neodpov\u00edd\u00e1 na ot\u00e1zku, pro\u010d se USA rozhodly za\u00fato\u010dit na \u00cdr\u00e1n. Americk\u00fd prezident Trump uvedl asi tucet r\u016fzn\u00fdch d\u016fvod\u016f, z nich\u017e \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd neobstoj\u00ed p\u0159i zkoum\u00e1n\u00ed. \u00cdr\u00e1n nevyr\u00e1b\u011bl jadern\u00e9 zbran\u011b, nevyv\u00edjel mezikontinent\u00e1ln\u00ed balistick\u00e9 rakety a nem\u011bl v \u00famyslu nikoho napadnout. Jeho dom\u00e1c\u00ed politick\u00e1 situace byla a z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 stabiln\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Od poloviny 80. let se sionist\u00e9 sna\u017e\u00ed dotla\u010dit USA do v\u00e1lky s \u00cdr\u00e1nem. Po celou dobu se USA tomuto tlaku z dobr\u00e9ho d\u016fvodu br\u00e1nily. Tvrzen\u00ed, \u017ee tento tlak je nyn\u00ed ko\u0159enem konfliktu, je p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 povrchn\u00ed. Stejn\u011b povrchn\u00ed jsou tvrzen\u00ed, \u017ee s t\u00edm m\u00e1 n\u011bco spole\u010dn\u00e9ho sou\u010dasn\u00fd skand\u00e1l Russiagate, zn\u00e1m\u00fd tak\u00e9 jako Epsteinova sb\u00edrka. Webb, Whitney Alyse. Ceny naleznete na Amazonu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Imp\u00e9rium nen\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 legrace. Jedn\u00e1 ze strategick\u00fdch d\u016fvod\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

Abychom pochopili smysl, mus\u00edme se od t\u011bchto \u00fazk\u00fdch perspektiv odklonit. Andrew Korybko m\u00e1 mo\u017en\u00e1 pravdu, kdy\u017e tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee tato kampa\u0148 je sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed Trumpovy \u0161ir\u0161\u00ed strategie proti \u010c\u00edn\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

C\u00edlem je z\u00edskat z\u00e1stupnou kontrolu nad obrovsk\u00fdmi \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdmi z\u00e1sobami ropy a plynu, aby mohly b\u00fdt pou\u017eity jako p\u00e1ka proti \u010c\u00edn\u011b a donutit ji k uzav\u0159en\u00ed nerovn\u00e9 obchodn\u00ed dohody, kter\u00e1 by zpomalila jej\u00ed vzestup k statusu supervelmoci a obnovila by tak unipolaritu vedenou USA.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u2026<\/span><\/h3>\n

Toto je my\u0161lenka n\u00e1m\u011bstka ministra obrany Elbridge Colbyho, kter\u00e1 byla d\u00e1le rozvedena v t\u00e9to anal\u00fdze z po\u010d\u00e1tku ledna. Uv\u00e1d\u00ed se v n\u00ed: \u201eVliv USA na venezuelsk\u00fd a mo\u017en\u00e1 brzy i \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd a nigerijsk\u00fd v\u00fdvoz energie a obchodn\u00ed vztahy s \u010c\u00ednou by mohl b\u00fdt zneu\u017eit hrozbami omezen\u00ed nebo \u00fapln\u00fdm zastaven\u00edm, soub\u011b\u017en\u011b s tlakem na jej\u00ed spojence v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu, aby u\u010dinili tot\u00e9\u017e,\u201c s c\u00edlem donutit \u010c\u00ednu k trval\u00e9mu juniorsk\u00e9mu partnerstv\u00ed s USA prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm nerovn\u00e9 obchodn\u00ed dohody.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u010c\u00edna si je velmi dob\u0159e v\u011bdoma toho, \u017ee americk\u00e1 strategie je nam\u00ed\u0159ena proti n\u00ed. To je jeden z d\u016fvod\u016f, pro\u010d poskytuje \u00cdr\u00e1nu technickou a vojenskou podporu, v\u011bt\u0161inou ve form\u011b zpravodajsk\u00fdch informac\u00ed, a z\u00e1rove\u0148 se vyh\u00fdb\u00e1 p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9mu zapojen\u00ed do konfliktu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zpravodajsk\u00e9 zpr\u00e1vy z 27. \u00fanora 2026 nazna\u010dovaly, \u017ee \u010c\u00edna kr\u00e1tce p\u0159ed zah\u00e1jen\u00edm \u00fatok\u016f poslala do \u00cdr\u00e1nu hl\u00eddkovou munici (kamikadze drony) a syst\u00e9my protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany. Krom\u011b dod\u00e1vek technologi\u00ed pro \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 raketov\u00e9 programy pokra\u010dovala mezi Pekingem a Teher\u00e1nem jedn\u00e1n\u00ed o dod\u00e1vce hypersonick\u00fdch protilodn\u00edch st\u0159el CM-302, co\u017e je technologie, kterou je obt\u00ed\u017en\u00e9 zachytit a kter\u00e1 je pova\u017eov\u00e1na za potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed zlomov\u00fd bod v regionu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Krom\u011b poskytov\u00e1n\u00ed kybernetick\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnosti \u00cdr\u00e1nu zah\u00e1jila \u010c\u00edna v lednu 2026 strategii na podporu \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 digit\u00e1ln\u00ed suverenity nahrazen\u00edm z\u00e1padn\u00edho softwaru uzav\u0159en\u00fdmi \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdmi syst\u00e9my na ochranu zem\u011b p\u0159ed izraelsk\u00fdmi a americk\u00fdmi kybernetick\u00fdmi \u00fatoky. \u010c\u00edna p\u0159i obnov\u011b raketov\u00fdch kapacit \u00cdr\u00e1nu tak\u00e9 pomohla kompenzovat ztr\u00e1ty \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch zbran\u00ed po \u00fatoc\u00edch v roce 2025, v\u010detn\u011b dod\u00e1vek pokro\u010dil\u00fdch balistick\u00fdch raket.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ztr\u00e1ta \u00cdr\u00e1nu by v\u00fdrazn\u011b po\u0161kodila energetickou situaci \u010c\u00edny, jeliko\u017e jej\u00ed z\u00e1vislost na zdroj\u00edch ropy a plynu z Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu je i nad\u00e1le zna\u010dn\u00e1. \u010c\u00edna tuto situaci zm\u00edrnila uzav\u0159en\u00edm nov\u00fdch energetick\u00fdch dohod s Ruskem.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u010c\u00edna na jedn\u00e9 stran\u011b zohled\u0148uje zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00e1 region\u00e1ln\u00ed rizika v z\u00e1padn\u00ed Asii. Zpr\u00e1vy nazna\u010duj\u00ed, \u017ee rostouc\u00ed z\u00e1jem Pekingu o plynovod S\u00edla Sibi\u0159e 2 byl vyvol\u00e1n \u00edr\u00e1nsko-izraelskou v\u00e1lkou v \u010dervnu. Vzhledem k obav\u00e1m o spolehlivost dod\u00e1vek energie z arabsk\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu za\u010dal Peking zkoumat alternativy \u2013 tento krok zapad\u00e1 do jeho celkov\u00e9 strategie minimalizace vn\u011bj\u0161\u00edch rizik pro energetickou bezpe\u010dnost.<\/span><\/p>\n

Na druhou stranu, tv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed v tv\u00e1\u0159 eskalaci ekonomick\u00e9 konfrontace s USA, se \u010c\u00edna sna\u017e\u00ed sn\u00ed\u017eit svou z\u00e1vislost na dod\u00e1vk\u00e1ch uhlovod\u00edk\u016f od bl\u00edzk\u00fdch partner\u016f Washingtonu a z\u00e1rove\u0148 aktivn\u011b omezovat dovoz ropy a plynu ze Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f. V t\u00e9to souvislosti p\u0159edstavuj\u00ed zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00e9 n\u00e1kupy rusk\u00fdch energi\u00ed u\u017eite\u010dnou zaji\u0161\u0165ovac\u00ed strategii.<\/span><\/p>\n

V tomto kontextu je zaj\u00edmav\u00e9, \u017ee Trump dnes stanovil d\u00e9lku trv\u00e1n\u00ed sv\u00e9 v\u00e1lky proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu na \u010dty\u0159i t\u00fddny:<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eU\u017e te\u010f v\u00fdrazn\u011b p\u0159edb\u00edh\u00e1me na\u0161e \u010dasov\u00e9 projekce,\u201c \u0159ekl Trump. \u201eAle a\u0165 to bude trvat jakkoli dlouho, je to v po\u0159\u00e1dku. A\u0165 to bude trvat cokoli\u2026 Od za\u010d\u00e1tku jsme si stanovili \u010dasov\u00fd r\u00e1mec \u010dty\u0159 a\u017e p\u011bti t\u00fddn\u016f, ale m\u00e1me schopnost vydr\u017eet mnohem d\u00e9le.\u201c<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Trump nav\u0161t\u00edv\u00ed \u010c\u00ednu za \u010dty\u0159i t\u00fddny \u2013 od 31. b\u0159ezna do 2. dubna. Jeho pozice v\u016f\u010di \u010c\u00edn\u011b byla oslabena, kdy\u017e Nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed soud ned\u00e1vno zru\u0161il jeho cla. Zab\u0159ednut\u00ed do v\u00e1lky s \u00cdr\u00e1nem by jeho pozici d\u00e1le oslabilo.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ale p\u0159\u00edchod do \u010c\u00edny po zaji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed \u00fastupk\u016f od \u00cdr\u00e1nu by byl pro Trumpa bonusem. Mohl by tvrdit, \u017ee USA jsou schopny n\u00e1sil\u00edm zm\u011bnit vl\u00e1dy, kter\u00e9 dod\u00e1vaj\u00ed Pekingu energii \u2013 v \u00cdr\u00e1nu a Venezuele. V\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed v \u00cdr\u00e1nu by Trumpa postavilo do siln\u00e9 vyjedn\u00e1vac\u00ed pozice.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u010c\u00edna se na druhou stranu bude cht\u00edt vyhnout ztr\u00e1t\u011b \u00cdr\u00e1nu. Jej\u00edm z\u00e1jmem je, aby se USA ut\u00e1p\u011bly na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b a vy\u010derpaly sv\u00e9 arzen\u00e1ly. Cokoli a kdokoli, kdo k tomu p\u0159isp\u011bje, bude v z\u00e1jmu Pekingu.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u010cty\u0159t\u00fddenn\u00ed lh\u016fta je proto kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e1. Je to obdob\u00ed, ve kter\u00e9m mus\u00ed Trump vyhr\u00e1t. Je to obdob\u00ed, kter\u00e9 mus\u00ed \u00cdr\u00e1n p\u0159e\u017e\u00edt, aby se z konfliktu stal (nomin\u00e1ln\u00edm) v\u00edt\u011bzem.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tyto \u010dty\u0159i t\u00fddny je t\u0159eba m\u00edt na pam\u011bti p\u0159i pozorov\u00e1n\u00ed a anal\u00fdze pr\u016fb\u011bhu t\u00e9to nerovn\u00e9 bitvy.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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V\u00e1lka proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu pokra\u010duje \u2013 a je\u0161t\u011b n\u011bjakou dobu bude pokra\u010dovat. Teher\u00e1n je bombardov\u00e1n a…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":101100,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,30,38,310,37,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/101099"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=101099"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/101099\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/101100"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=101099"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=101099"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=101099"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}