{"id":101081,"date":"2026-03-06T00:12:16","date_gmt":"2026-03-05T23:12:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=101081"},"modified":"2026-03-05T11:24:16","modified_gmt":"2026-03-05T10:24:16","slug":"blizky-vychod-a-jizni-asie-proc-je-valka-s-iranem-take-obrovskou-prilezitosti-pro-rusko","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/03\/06\/blizky-vychod-a-jizni-asie-proc-je-valka-s-iranem-take-obrovskou-prilezitosti-pro-rusko\/","title":{"rendered":"Bl\u00edzk\u00fd v\u00fdchod a ji\u017en\u00ed Asie: Pro\u010d je v\u00e1lka s \u00cdr\u00e1nem tak\u00e9 obrovskou p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost\u00ed pro Rusko"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">\u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 v\u00e1lka bude m\u00edt pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b trval\u00fd dopad na glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomiku, proto\u017ee by mohla zni\u010dit d\u016fv\u011bru v d\u0159\u00edve pova\u017eovan\u00e9 bezpe\u010dn\u00e9 dopravn\u00ed trasy a logistiku. Rusko, kter\u00e9 za t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 dv\u011b desetilet\u00ed kompletn\u011b modernizovalo svou infrastrukturu, by z toho mohlo t\u011b\u017eit nep\u0159edv\u00eddateln\u00fdmi zp\u016fsoby.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Jedn\u00edm z aspekt\u016f \u00edr\u00e1nsko-ir\u00e1ck\u00e9 v\u00e1lky, kter\u00fd dosud z\u016fstal uprost\u0159ed nal\u00e9hav\u00fdch zpr\u00e1v o potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed energetick\u00e9 krizi do zna\u010dn\u00e9 m\u00edry bez pov\u0161imnut\u00ed, je naru\u0161en\u00ed d\u0159\u00edve pova\u017eovan\u00fdch za bezpe\u010dn\u00e9 mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed dopravn\u00ed trasy. V\u00e1lka je tak\u00e9 \u00fatokem na \u010c\u00ednu, kter\u00e1 je nejen v\u00fdznamn\u00fdm spot\u0159ebitelem \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 ropy, ale v jej\u00ed\u017e multimiliardov\u00e9 iniciativ\u011b P\u00e1s a stezka m\u011bl \u00cdr\u00e1n hr\u00e1t kl\u00ed\u010dovou roli. K tomu se p\u0159id\u00e1v\u00e1 v\u00e1lka mezi Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1nem a P\u00e1kist\u00e1nem, kter\u00e1 m\u00e1 na \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fd projekt tak\u00e9 dopad.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Pro Rusko se naopak otev\u00edraj\u00ed nep\u0159edv\u00eddan\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitosti, proto\u017ee m\u016f\u017ee pos\u00edlit svou roli dodavatele ropy a plynu pro \u010c\u00ednu, ale tak\u00e9 proto, \u017ee by mohlo b\u00fdt velk\u00fdm p\u0159\u00edjemcem p\u0159i pl\u00e1nov\u00e1n\u00ed budouc\u00edch dopravn\u00edch tras.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Rusk\u00fd expert o tom napsal pro agenturu TASS velmi informativn\u00ed\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/tass.ru\/opinions\/26624785\"><u><span dir=\"auto\">\u010dl\u00e1nek<\/span><\/u><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0, kter\u00fd jsem p\u0159elo\u017eil.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Za\u010d\u00e1tek p\u0159ekladu:<\/span><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Bl\u00edzk\u00fd v\u00fdchod a ji\u017en\u00ed Asie: Konec \u00e9ry pl\u00e1novan\u00e9ho obchodu<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Dmitrij Zarkow o dopadu geopolitick\u00e9 situace kolem \u00cdr\u00e1nu, P\u00e1kist\u00e1nu a Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1nu na glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomiku a ruskou ekonomiku.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Sou\u010dasn\u00e1 geopolitick\u00e1 konstelace na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b a v ji\u017en\u00ed Asii, zahrnuj\u00edc\u00ed \u00cdr\u00e1n a nestabiln\u00ed pohrani\u010dn\u00ed oblasti P\u00e1kist\u00e1nu a Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1nu, ji\u017e nen\u00ed jen souhrnem lok\u00e1ln\u00edch ud\u00e1lost\u00ed, ale vyv\u00edj\u00ed se v z\u00e1sadn\u00ed makroekonomickou v\u00fdzvu. Jsme sv\u011bdky nejen do\u010dasn\u00e9ho n\u00e1r\u016fstu volatility, ale i hlubok\u00e9 struktur\u00e1ln\u00ed reorganizace glob\u00e1ln\u00edch obchodn\u00edch tras a dodavatelsk\u00fdch \u0159et\u011bzc\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Co ovliv\u0148uje co a p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm jak?<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">P\u0159echod z \u201eJust-in-Time\u201c na \u201eJust-in-Case\u201c<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Z pohledu finan\u010dn\u00ed anal\u00fdzy sou\u010dasn\u00e9 nap\u011bt\u00ed v Hormuzsk\u00e9m pr\u016flivu a pozemn\u00edch koridorech St\u0159edn\u00ed Asie znamen\u00e1 konec \u00e9ry extr\u00e9mn\u011b n\u00e1kladov\u011b efektivn\u00ed a p\u0159edv\u00eddateln\u00e9 logistiky, kter\u00e1 po desetilet\u00ed tvo\u0159ila z\u00e1klad globalizace. Geografick\u00e9 p\u0159ir\u00e1\u017eky se st\u00e1vaj\u00ed pevnou sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed provozn\u00edch n\u00e1klad\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Institucion\u00e1ln\u00ed investo\u0159i a velk\u00e9 pr\u016fmyslov\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti jsou nuceny p\u0159ej\u00edt od modelu \u201ejust-in-time\u201c pro optimalizaci n\u00e1klad\u016f (kde jsou suroviny a komponenty dod\u00e1v\u00e1ny p\u0159esn\u011b v mno\u017estv\u00ed pot\u0159ebn\u00e9m pro dan\u00e9 obdob\u00ed) ke strategii \u201ejust-in-case\u201c, kter\u00e1 zaji\u0161\u0165uje fyzickou bezpe\u010dnost dod\u00e1vek. To nevyhnuteln\u011b vede k dlouhodob\u00e9mu infla\u010dn\u00edmu tlaku v glob\u00e1ln\u00edm m\u011b\u0159\u00edtku. V t\u00e9to nov\u00e9 realit\u011b jsou tradi\u010dn\u00ed n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed trasy \u2013 jako je Rud\u00e9 mo\u0159e a Suezsk\u00fd pr\u016fplav \u2013 ovlivn\u011bny region\u00e1ln\u00ed nestabilitou, co\u017e nut\u00ed p\u0159epravn\u00ed spole\u010dnosti p\u0159ehodnotit trasy a volit del\u0161\u00ed a dra\u017e\u0161\u00ed trasy kolem Mysu Dobr\u00e9 nad\u011bje.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Toto vynucen\u00e9 opat\u0159en\u00ed sice zaji\u0161\u0165uje fyzickou bezpe\u010dnost n\u00e1kladu, ale drasticky zvy\u0161uje po\u017eadavky spole\u010dnost\u00ed na provozn\u00ed kapit\u00e1l v d\u016fsledku prodlou\u017een\u00ed dodac\u00edch cykl\u016f o dva a\u017e t\u0159i t\u00fddny. Nav\u00edc na pozad\u00ed restriktivn\u00ed m\u011bnov\u00e9 politiky p\u0159edn\u00edch centr\u00e1ln\u00edch bank to vytv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed dodate\u010dnou (kritickou) z\u00e1t\u011b\u017e pro udr\u017eitelnost dluhu podnikov\u00e9ho sektoru na cel\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Dopravn\u00ed dilema<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">To posouv\u00e1 glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomick\u00fd rozvoj sm\u011brem k fragmentaci, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e1 centra distribuce komodit \u010del\u00ed \u00fazk\u00fdm hrdl\u016fm. A\u010dkoli energetick\u00fd sektor tradi\u010dn\u011b reaguje na eskalaci jako prvn\u00ed, skute\u010dn\u00e9 a dalekos\u00e1hlej\u0161\u00ed dopady se projevuj\u00ed v n\u00e1kladech na p\u0159epravu (n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed doprava) a pojistn\u00e9m, kter\u00e9 se mohou b\u011bhem kriz\u00ed v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu dramaticky zv\u00fd\u0161it b\u011bhem n\u011bkolika dn\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv, kter\u00fdm se p\u0159epravuje a\u017e t\u0159etina sv\u011btov\u00fdch dod\u00e1vek ropy a asi 20 procent zkapaln\u011bn\u00e9ho zemn\u00edho plynu, z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 nejcitliv\u011bj\u0161\u00edm bodem. Syst\u00e9mov\u00e9 riziko se v\u0161ak nyn\u00ed roz\u0161i\u0159uje i na pozemn\u00ed koridory, kter\u00e9 byly d\u0159\u00edve pova\u017eov\u00e1ny za bezpe\u010dnou alternativu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Nestabilita na p\u00e1kist\u00e1nsko-afgh\u00e1nsk\u00e9 hranici ohro\u017euje realizaci rozs\u00e1hl\u00fdch tranzitn\u00edch projekt\u016f, v\u010detn\u011b ambici\u00f3zn\u00edho \u010d\u00ednsko-p\u00e1kist\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho ekonomick\u00e9ho koridoru, do kter\u00e9ho ji\u017e byly investov\u00e1ny miliardy dolar\u016f. Pro glob\u00e1ln\u00ed spole\u010dnosti to znamen\u00e1 pot\u0159ebu komplexn\u00edho zaji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed (poji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed) nejen proti rizik\u016fm cen komodit, ale tak\u00e9 proti logistick\u00fdm rizik\u016fm. To zase zvy\u0161uje popt\u00e1vku po nov\u00fdch, bezpe\u010dn\u011bj\u0161\u00edch a nez\u00e1vislej\u0161\u00edch tras\u00e1ch.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">V t\u00e9to souvislosti je z\u0159ejm\u00e9, jak geopolitick\u00fd tlak na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b urychluje vznik nov\u00e9 glob\u00e1ln\u00ed obchodn\u00ed krajiny. V r\u00e1mci t\u00e9to krajiny nab\u00fdv\u00e1 na v\u00fdznamu bezpe\u010dnost tranzitn\u00ed dopravy v porovn\u00e1n\u00ed s jej\u00edmi nomin\u00e1ln\u00edmi n\u00e1klady. Schopnost st\u00e1tu zaru\u010dit fyzickou a pr\u00e1vn\u00ed ochranu dopravn\u00edch uzl\u016f se m\u011bn\u00ed v kl\u00ed\u010dovou konkuren\u010dn\u00ed v\u00fdhodu na glob\u00e1ln\u00edm investi\u010dn\u00edm trhu.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Geoekonomick\u00fd zlom: Mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed dopravn\u00ed koridor sever-jih a rusk\u00e9 z\u00e1jmy<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Pro Rusko vytv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed sou\u010dasn\u00e1 situace kolem \u00cdr\u00e1nu a na k\u0159i\u017eovatce cest mezi Ji\u017en\u00ed a St\u0159edn\u00ed Asi\u00ed slo\u017eit\u00e9, ale (p\u0159ekvapiv\u011b) strategicky v\u00fdhodn\u00e9 prost\u0159ed\u00ed. P\u0159i spr\u00e1vn\u00e9m \u0159\u00edzen\u00ed by tato situace mohla b\u00fdt motorem hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9ho r\u016fstu v nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00edch desetilet\u00edch.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Navzdory zjevn\u00fdm rizik\u016fm \u2013 zejm\u00e9na t\u011bm, kter\u00e1 souvisej\u00ed s bezpe\u010dnost\u00ed tranzitn\u00edch uzl\u016f s na\u0161imi ji\u017en\u00edmi partnery \u2013 m\u00e1 Rusko pozoruhodnou odolnost a n\u00e1stroje pro p\u0159izp\u016fsoben\u00ed se t\u011bmto tektonick\u00fdm posun\u016fm. Nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00edm faktorem je zde mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed severoji\u017en\u00ed dopravn\u00ed koridor. Pokud budou tradi\u010dn\u00ed n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed trasy blokov\u00e1ny Suezsk\u00fdm pr\u016fplavem nebo se stanou st\u00e1le dra\u017e\u0161\u00edmi, stane se jedin\u00fdm pozemn\u00edm spojen\u00edm.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Statistiky to potvrzuj\u00ed: N\u00e1kladn\u00ed doprava pod\u00e9l severoji\u017en\u00edho dopravn\u00edho koridoru stabiln\u011b roste a Rusko se chov\u00e1 jako stabiln\u00ed hr\u00e1\u010d schopn\u00fd zajistit bezpe\u010dnost na sv\u00e9m \u00faseku trasy. Silnou str\u00e1nkou Ruska je jeho vysoce rozvinut\u00e1, suver\u00e9nn\u00ed \u017eelezni\u010dn\u00ed infrastruktura a vysoce v\u00fdkonn\u00e1 p\u0159\u00edstavn\u00ed centra v Kaspick\u00e9 p\u00e1nvi (Astracha\u0148, Macha\u010dkala). Tato centra nejsou z\u00e1visl\u00e1 na nejistot\u00e1ch mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edho poji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed ani na rozhodnut\u00edch z\u00e1padn\u00edch p\u0159epravn\u00edch spole\u010dnost\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Nav\u00edc Rusko prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm aktivn\u00ed \u00fa\u010dasti na roz\u0161i\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 \u017eelezni\u010dn\u00ed s\u00edt\u011b a p\u0159\u00edstavn\u00edch za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed, v\u010detn\u011b projekt\u016f na vytvo\u0159en\u00ed bezprobl\u00e9mov\u00e9ho logistick\u00e9ho prost\u0159ed\u00ed, pokl\u00e1d\u00e1 z\u00e1klady pro uzav\u0159en\u00fd a bezpe\u010dn\u00fd syst\u00e9m, kter\u00fd \u00fa\u010dinn\u011b chr\u00e1n\u00ed rusk\u00fd obchod p\u0159ed dopady glob\u00e1ln\u00ed n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed nestability. To umo\u017e\u0148uje rusk\u00fdm spole\u010dnostem nejen absorbovat vn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ot\u0159esy, ale tak\u00e9 nab\u00edzet spolehlivou spolupr\u00e1ci mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edm partner\u016fm p\u0159i p\u0159eprav\u011b zbo\u017e\u00ed mezi Asi\u00ed a Evropou. Z dlouhodob\u00e9ho hlediska to posiluje st\u00e1tn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edjmy mimo ropn\u00fd a plyn\u00e1rensk\u00fd sektor a v\u00fdrazn\u011b zvy\u0161uje geoekonomickou v\u00e1hu zem\u011b, a to i v r\u00e1mci zem\u00ed BRICS.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Finan\u010dn\u00ed architektura multipol\u00e1rn\u00edho sv\u011bta<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Region\u00e1ln\u00ed turbulence p\u0159irozen\u011b ovliv\u0148uj\u00ed m\u011bnov\u00e9 trhy a finan\u010dn\u00ed syst\u00e9m, co\u017e vede k celosv\u011btov\u00fdm tok\u016fm kapit\u00e1lu do bezpe\u010dn\u00fdch aktiv. Tradi\u010dn\u011b v obdob\u00edch eskalace na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b pozorujeme posilov\u00e1n\u00ed dolarov\u00e9ho indexu a rostouc\u00ed ceny zlata, co\u017e vyv\u00edj\u00ed zna\u010dn\u00fd tlak na m\u011bny rozvojov\u00fdch zem\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">D\u00edky hlubok\u00e9 transformaci finan\u010dn\u00edho syst\u00e9mu Ruska a d\u016fsledn\u00e9mu odklonu od modelu vypo\u0159\u00e1d\u00e1n\u00ed zam\u011b\u0159en\u00e9ho na dolar v\u0161ak tento mechanismus v sou\u010dasnosti funguje v Rusku za z\u00e1sadn\u011b odli\u0161n\u00fdch podm\u00ednek. Pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1n\u00ed n\u00e1rodn\u00edch m\u011bn v obchodu s \u00cdr\u00e1nem, Indi\u00ed, \u010c\u00ednou a zem\u011bmi St\u0159edn\u00ed Asie poskytuje \u00fa\u010dinnou ochranu p\u0159ed vn\u011bj\u0161\u00edmi v\u00fdkyvy. Rusk\u00fd bankovn\u00ed syst\u00e9m (p\u0159izp\u016fsoben\u00fd fungov\u00e1n\u00ed v podm\u00ednk\u00e1ch bezprecedentn\u00edch sankc\u00ed) se nyn\u00ed py\u0161n\u00ed vysokou likviditou a je schopen hladce zpracov\u00e1vat zahrani\u010dn\u00ed obchodn\u00ed dohody i v obdob\u00edch region\u00e1ln\u00ed krize.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Vysok\u00e9 glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ceny energi\u00ed (jejich\u017e r\u016fst je vzhledem k nestabilit\u011b v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu nevyhnuteln\u00fd) nav\u00edc v\u00fdznamn\u011b podporuj\u00ed ruskou platebn\u00ed bilanci. To vytv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed nezbytn\u00fd finan\u010dn\u00ed pol\u0161t\u00e1\u0159 pro realizaci kapit\u00e1lov\u011b n\u00e1ro\u010dn\u00fdch infrastrukturn\u00edch projekt\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Podle m\u00e9ho n\u00e1zoru sou\u010dasn\u00e1 situace urychluje rozvoj nez\u00e1visl\u00e9 finan\u010dn\u00ed architektury. V r\u00e1mci tohoto syst\u00e9mu jsou vypo\u0159\u00e1d\u00e1n\u00ed a clearing pln\u011b chr\u00e1n\u011bny p\u0159ed geopolitick\u00fdmi po\u017eadavky t\u0159et\u00edch zem\u00ed \u2013 co\u017e je kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fd faktor pro stabilitu dom\u00e1c\u00edch v\u00fdvozc\u016f a dovozc\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed pl\u00e1nuj\u00ed sv\u00e9 aktivity na obdob\u00ed p\u011bti a\u017e deseti let.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span dir=\"auto\">Logistick\u00e1 suverenita: Adapta\u010dn\u00ed strategie pro firmy<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">V dlouhodob\u00e9m horizontu bude glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomika nevyhnuteln\u011b \u010delit p\u0159ehodnocen\u00ed role st\u00e1t\u016f jako garant\u016f logistick\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnosti. Ud\u00e1losti v \u00cdr\u00e1nu a nestabilita v P\u00e1kist\u00e1nu a Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1nu nut\u00ed spole\u010dnosti k regionalizaci, co\u017e znamen\u00e1, \u017ee budou z\u0159izovat dal\u0161\u00ed v\u00fdrobn\u00ed a logistick\u00e1 centra, aby minimalizovaly riziko uzav\u0159en\u00ed kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdch pr\u016fliv\u016f. Tato strategie vyvol\u00e1 explozivn\u00ed popt\u00e1vku po nov\u00fdch pojistn\u00fdch produktech mimo z\u00e1padn\u00ed jurisdikce a po mechanismech ochrany investic p\u0159izp\u016fsoben\u00fdch realit\u011b multipol\u00e1rn\u00edho sv\u011bta.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Rusko se v tomto glob\u00e1ln\u00edm procesu aktivn\u011b zapojuje. Zem\u011b toti\u017e investuje nejen do fyzick\u00e9 infrastruktury, ale tak\u00e9 do digitalizace logistiky, zjednodu\u0161en\u00ed celn\u00edch postup\u016f v r\u00e1mci Euroasijsk\u00e9 hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9 unie a vytv\u00e1\u0159en\u00ed jednotn\u00fdch standard\u016f pro n\u00e1kladn\u00ed dopravu. Stabilita rusk\u00e9ho dom\u00e1c\u00edho trhu a p\u0159edv\u00eddatelnost vl\u00e1dn\u00ed politiky podporuj\u00edc\u00ed zahrani\u010dn\u00ed obchod umo\u017e\u0148uj\u00ed velk\u00fdm rusk\u00fdm spole\u010dnostem pl\u00e1novat expanzi na ji\u017en\u00ed a v\u00fdchodn\u00ed trhy, a to i za podm\u00ednek vysok\u00e9 vn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed turbulence.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Je d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 si uv\u011bdomit, \u017ee ve sv\u011bt\u011b, kde se fyzick\u00e1 bezpe\u010dnost dopravn\u00edch tras st\u00e1v\u00e1 vz\u00e1cn\u00fdm a extr\u00e9mn\u011b n\u00e1kladn\u00fdm zdrojem, Rusko a jeho rozs\u00e1hl\u00e9 infrastrukturn\u00ed projekty nab\u00edzej\u00ed mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edmu kapit\u00e1lu p\u0159esn\u011b takovou p\u0159edv\u00eddatelnost, jakou si nelze koupit na otev\u0159en\u00e9m finan\u010dn\u00edm trhu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Stru\u010dn\u011b \u0159e\u010deno, sou\u010dasn\u00fd v\u00fdvoj v \u00cdr\u00e1nu a sousedn\u00edch regionech je siln\u00fdm katalyz\u00e1torem kone\u010dn\u00e9ho p\u0159echodu k multipol\u00e1rn\u00edmu ekonomick\u00e9mu modelu, v n\u011bm\u017e je logistick\u00e1 suverenita stejn\u011b d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e1 jako technologick\u00e1 nebo finan\u010dn\u00ed suverenita. Pro glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomiku to znamen\u00e1 n\u00e1ro\u010dn\u00e9 obdob\u00ed p\u0159izp\u016fsoben\u00ed se vy\u0161\u0161\u00edm n\u00e1klad\u016fm a hled\u00e1n\u00ed nov\u00fdch rovnov\u00e1\u017en\u00fdch bod\u016f na fragmentovan\u00fdch trz\u00edch.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Jak ji\u017e bylo zm\u00edn\u011bno, Rusko m\u00e1 jedine\u010dnou historickou p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost k zaji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed sv\u00e9 pozice kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9ho garanta bezpe\u010dnosti a efektivity ve\u0161ker\u00e9 euroasijsk\u00e9 tranzitn\u00ed dopravy. Na z\u00e1klad\u011b zrychlen\u00e9ho rozvoje mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho severoji\u017en\u00edho dopravn\u00edho koridoru, pos\u00edlen\u00ed p\u0159\u00edm\u00fdch vztah\u016f mezi bankami a partnery BRICS a roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed vlastn\u00ed infrastruktury hlubinn\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edstav\u016f vytv\u00e1\u0159\u00edme r\u00e1mec, kter\u00fd nejen odol\u00e1 geopolitick\u00fdm kriz\u00edm, ale tak\u00e9 z nich bude m\u00edt dlouhodob\u00e9 ekonomick\u00e9 v\u00fdhody. V t\u00e9to situaci by rusk\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti m\u011bly zachovat obez\u0159etn\u00fd a pragmatick\u00fd p\u0159\u00edstup a zam\u011b\u0159it se na p\u0159ekon\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed st\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00edch logistick\u00fdch p\u0159ek\u00e1\u017eek aktivn\u00edm vyu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1n\u00edm vl\u00e1dn\u00edch podp\u016frn\u00fdch program\u016f a n\u00e1stroj\u016f financov\u00e1n\u00ed exportu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Konec p\u0159ekladu<\/span><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/anti-spiegel.ru\/2026\/warum-der-iran-krieg-fuer-russland-auch-eine-riesenchance-ist\/\">Thomas R\u00f6per<\/a><\/p>\n<div class=\"shariff shariff-align-flex-start shariff-widget-align-flex-start\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone  wp-image-22016\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/Thomas-Roper-298x300.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"148\" height=\"149\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/Thomas-Roper-298x300.jpg 298w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/Thomas-Roper-150x150.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/Thomas-Roper.jpg 596w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 148px) 100vw, 148px\" \/><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 v\u00e1lka bude m\u00edt pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b trval\u00fd dopad na glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomiku, proto\u017ee by mohla zni\u010dit d\u016fv\u011bru&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":101082,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,59,38,350,22],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/101081"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=101081"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/101081\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/101082"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=101081"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=101081"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=101081"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}