{"id":101046,"date":"2026-03-05T00:33:01","date_gmt":"2026-03-04T23:33:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=101046"},"modified":"2026-03-04T15:02:49","modified_gmt":"2026-03-04T14:02:49","slug":"karel-strakos-iran-a-jeho-atomova-bomba","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/03\/05\/karel-strakos-iran-a-jeho-atomova-bomba\/","title":{"rendered":"Karel Strako\u0161: \u00cdr\u00e1n a jeho atomov\u00e1 bomba"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Americko-izraelsk\u00e1 vojensk\u00e1 operace m\u00e1 b\u00fdt preventivn\u00edm z\u00e1sahem proti \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9mu jadern\u00e9mu programu. M\u00edsto toho se st\u00e1v\u00e1 nejrychlej\u0161\u00edm a nejefektivn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm akceler\u00e1torem jadern\u00e9 eskalace, jak\u00fd Bl\u00edzk\u00fd v\u00fdchod za posledn\u00ed desetilet\u00ed za\u017eil.<\/p>\n

Z\u00e1kladn\u00ed strategick\u00e1 rovnice o bezjadern\u00e9m \u00cdr\u00e1nu se pr\u00e1v\u011b te\u010f zm\u011bn\u00ed. Kdy\u017e m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt suver\u00e9nn\u00ed st\u00e1t podroben masivn\u00edmu leteck\u00e9mu \u00fatoku, jeho nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed duchovn\u00ed a vojensk\u00fd v\u016fdce zabit a c\u00edl re\u017eimn\u00ed zm\u011bny otev\u0159en\u011b deklarov\u00e1n bez form\u00e1ln\u00edho vyhl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed v\u00e1lky a bez mand\u00e1tu Rady bezpe\u010dnosti OSN, pak jedin\u00e1 logick\u00e1 odpov\u011b\u010f na tuto agresi je z\u00edskat jadernou zbra\u0148 co nejrychleji jako absolutn\u00ed z\u00e1ruku pro dal\u0161\u00ed p\u0159e\u017eit\u00ed.<\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1n u\u017e te\u010f nem\u00e1 d\u016fvod ohl\u00ed\u017eet se na ostatn\u00ed. Kon\u010d\u00ed \u00e9ra inspekc\u00ed Mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed agentury pro atomovou energii IAEA, sign\u00e1l\u016f dobr\u00e9 v\u016fle, taktick\u00fdch brzd a vyjedn\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Jadern\u00e1 zbra\u0148 ji\u017e nen\u00ed n\u00e1strojem pro vyjedn\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed nebo vyd\u00edr\u00e1n\u00ed, ale st\u00e1v\u00e1 se jedinou re\u00e1lnou pojistkou proti zni\u010den\u00ed ze strany USA, Izraele nebo jin\u00e9ho nep\u0159\u00edtele.<\/p>\n

Sankce na \u00cdr\u00e1n ztr\u00e1cej\u00ed jak\u00fdkoliv v\u00fdznam. \u00cdr\u00e1n v nich \u017eije ji\u017e v\u00edce ne\u017e \u010dty\u0159icet let a dal\u0161\u00ed bal\u00ed\u010dky ho nezlom\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed dohled pozb\u00fdv\u00e1 legitimitu, proto\u017ee funguje pouze tehdy, pokud existuje re\u00e1ln\u00e1 politick\u00e1 perspektiva pro budoucnost \u00cdr\u00e1nu.<\/p>\n

Po likvidaci ajatoll\u00e1ha Chamene\u00edho a des\u00edtek dal\u0161\u00edch vrcholn\u00fdch p\u0159edstavitel\u016f takov\u00e1 perspektiva u\u017e nen\u00ed na stole. \u00cdr\u00e1n odm\u00edt\u00e1 s USA jednat.<\/p>\n

Na vnitropolitick\u00e9 sc\u00e9n\u011b z\u00edsk\u00e1v\u00e1 \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd re\u017eim nejsiln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed argument za posledn\u00ed generace. Pouze atomov\u00e1 zbra\u0148 je jedin\u00e1 ochrana p\u0159ed vyhlazen\u00edm. Tento narativ re\u017eim nesjednocuje jen r\u00e9toricky, ale vytv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed mu skute\u010dnou vnit\u0159n\u00ed legitimitu v okam\u017eiku, kdy ji nejv\u00edce pot\u0159ebuje.<\/p>\n

Z\u00e1pad si zat\u00edm pln\u011b neuv\u011bdomuje, \u017ee nejhor\u0161\u00ed sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 ji\u017e b\u011b\u017e\u00ed. Nejde prim\u00e1rn\u011b o to, zda \u00cdr\u00e1n jadernou zbra\u0148 pou\u017eije. Jde o to, \u017ee ji bude m\u00edt a t\u00edm se spust\u00ed dominov\u00fd efekt.<\/p>\n

Sa\u00fadsk\u00e1 Ar\u00e1bie, ji\u017e dnes \u00fadajn\u011b tajn\u011b spolupracuje s P\u00e1kist\u00e1nem na jadern\u00e9 pojistce.<\/p>\n

Turecko s jeho technologick\u00fdmi ambicemi a rostouc\u00edmi region\u00e1ln\u00edmi n\u00e1roky rovn\u011b\u017e.<\/p>\n

Egypt s historickou p\u0159edstavou o sv\u00e9 roli v regionu takt\u00e9\u017e.<\/p>\n

Region, kter\u00fd byl ji\u017e tak nestabiln\u00ed, se pr\u00e1v\u011b te\u010f m\u016f\u017ee zm\u011bnit v jadern\u00e9 minov\u00e9 pole s n\u011bkolika vz\u00e1jemn\u011b se odstra\u0161uj\u00edc\u00edmi akt\u00e9ry. Takov\u00e1 nov\u00e1 studen\u00e1 v\u00e1lka Bl\u00edzk\u00e9ho v\u00fdchodu.<\/p>\n

Mezit\u00edm Evropa sotva zvl\u00e1d\u00e1 jeden dlouhodob\u00fd konflikt na Ukrajin\u011b a nyn\u00ed \u010del\u00ed druh\u00e9mu, daleko n\u00e1ro\u010dn\u011bj\u0161\u00edmu a dra\u017e\u0161\u00edmu.<\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1n tuto slabost Z\u00e1padu vid\u00ed. Proto nemus\u00ed nijak riskovat. Sta\u010d\u00ed mu konflikt protahovat, vy\u010derp\u00e1vat z\u00e1soby protiraketov\u00e9 obrany USA a Izraele a mezit\u00edm dokon\u010dovat to podstatn\u00e9. Svou jadernou zbra\u0148.<\/p>\n

Z vojensk\u00e9ho hlediska si Z\u00e1pad st\u00e1le udr\u017euje p\u0159evahu.<\/p>\n

Z hlediska \u010dasu, trp\u011blivosti a strategick\u00e9 logiky ji pr\u00e1v\u011b te\u010f ztr\u00e1c\u00ed.<\/p>\n

\u00datok, kter\u00fd m\u011bl \u00cdr\u00e1n zastavit, sp\u00ed\u0161e v\u00fdrobu atomov\u00e9 bomby urychl\u00ed.<\/p>\n

\u00dader, kter\u00fd m\u011bl sn\u00ed\u017eit hrozbu, ji zn\u00e1sobuje.<\/p>\n

To, co m\u011blo b\u00fdt prevenc\u00ed, se st\u00e1v\u00e1 nov\u00fdm akceler\u00e1torem jadern\u00e9 katastrofy.<\/p>\n

Karel Strako\u0161<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Americko-izraelsk\u00e1 vojensk\u00e1 operace m\u00e1 b\u00fdt preventivn\u00edm z\u00e1sahem proti \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9mu jadern\u00e9mu programu. M\u00edsto toho se st\u00e1v\u00e1…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":101047,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[38,3179,1503],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/101046"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=101046"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/101046\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/101047"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=101046"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=101046"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=101046"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}