{"id":101037,"date":"2026-03-05T00:26:58","date_gmt":"2026-03-04T23:26:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=101037"},"modified":"2026-03-04T14:45:21","modified_gmt":"2026-03-04T13:45:21","slug":"andrew-korybko-planovana-banka-nato-ma-financovat-hrozici-zavody-ve-zbrojeni-mezi-evropou-a-ruskem","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/03\/05\/andrew-korybko-planovana-banka-nato-ma-financovat-hrozici-zavody-ve-zbrojeni-mezi-evropou-a-ruskem\/","title":{"rendered":"Andrew Korybko: Pl\u00e1novan\u00e1 \u201ebanka NATO\u201c m\u00e1 financovat hroz\u00edc\u00ed z\u00e1vody ve zbrojen\u00ed mezi Evropou a Ruskem"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Rusko-polsk\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed dilema pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b poslou\u017e\u00ed jako impuls k pln\u00e9mu uvoln\u011bn\u00ed a \u0159\u00e1dn\u00e9mu \u0159\u00edzen\u00ed kapacit evropsk\u00e9ho NATO jako celku v souladu s N\u00e1rodn\u00ed obrannou strategi\u00ed USA.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

RT\u00a0<\/span><\/a>koncem ledna upozornil na zpr\u00e1vu den\u00edku\u00a0<\/span>Izvestija\u00a0<\/span><\/a>o \u00fadajn\u00fdch pl\u00e1nech Z\u00e1padu na z\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed \u201e\u00a0<\/span>Banky obrany, bezpe\u010dnosti a odolnosti\u00a0<\/span><\/a>\u201c (DSRB) do roku 2027. Jejich \u010dl\u00e1nek se op\u00edr\u00e1 o hloubkov\u00fd v\u00fdzkum Atlantick\u00e9\u00a0<\/span>rady\u00a0<\/span><\/a>, kter\u00e1 p\u0159i\u0161la s my\u0161lenkou toho, co bylo p\u016fvodn\u011b naz\u00fdv\u00e1no \u201eBanka NATO\u201c. \u00da\u010delem je poskytovat \u201en\u00edzko\u00faro\u010den\u00e9 p\u016fj\u010dky na modernizaci obrany\u201c, a t\u00edm usnadnit dosa\u017een\u00ed c\u00edle, aby \u010dlenov\u00e9 NATO vynakl\u00e1dali 5 % HDP na obranu, ani\u017e by v\u00fdrazn\u011b omezili soci\u00e1ln\u00ed a infrastrukturn\u00ed v\u00fddaje.<\/span><\/p>\n

M\u00edsto toho, aby \u0161krtali takov\u00e9 programy s c\u00edlem p\u0159esm\u011brovat finan\u010dn\u00ed prost\u0159edky na obranu s rizikem pomoci populisticko-nacionalistick\u00fdm skupin\u00e1m b\u011bhem p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch voleb a\/nebo vyvol\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed nepokoj\u016f, by ka\u017ed\u00fd rok utratili pouze zlomek jistiny na spl\u00e1cen\u00ed sv\u00e9ho \u00fav\u011bru DSRB, m\u00edsto aby platili n\u00e1klady p\u0159edem, jako by byly sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed jejich ro\u010dn\u00edch v\u00fddaj\u016f. Shrnut\u00ed hloubkov\u00e9ho v\u00fdzkumu Atlantick\u00e9 rady, na kter\u00e9 je odkaz v\u00fd\u0161e, rovn\u011b\u017e uv\u00e1d\u00ed, \u017ee \u201edal\u0161\u00ed kritickou funkc\u00ed banky DSR by bylo ru\u010dit za riziko pro komer\u010dn\u00ed banky\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

To by jim pak \u201eumo\u017enilo roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159it financov\u00e1n\u00ed na obrann\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti v cel\u00e9m dodavatelsk\u00e9m \u0159et\u011bzci\u201c. Dopl\u0148kov\u00fdm \u00fa\u010delem je financov\u00e1n\u00ed rozs\u00e1hl\u00fdch zak\u00e1zek, kter\u00e9 si tyto spole\u010dnosti samy nemohou dovolit a v\u011bt\u0161ina \u010dlensk\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f si je tak\u00e9 nem\u016f\u017ee dovolit bez potenci\u00e1ln\u00edho populistick\u00e9ho odporu. Obrann\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti pak mohou roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159it v\u00fdrobu, vyr\u00e1b\u011bt po\u017eadovan\u00e9 vojensko-technick\u00e9 vybaven\u00ed ve velk\u00e9m m\u011b\u0159\u00edtku a pot\u00e9 ho prod\u00e1vat za mnohem dostupn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed cenu, aby urychlily pl\u00e1novanou militarizaci NATO.<\/span><\/p>\n

O\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 se, \u017ee z toho bude m\u00edt nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed prosp\u011bch\u00a0<\/span>v\u00fdchodn\u00ed k\u0159\u00eddlo\u00a0<\/span><\/a>bloku\u00a0<\/span>, kter\u00e9 se do zna\u010dn\u00e9 m\u00edry p\u0159ekr\u00fdv\u00e1 s\u00a0<\/span>polskou\u00a0<\/span><\/a>\u201e\u00a0<\/span>Iniciativou t\u0159\u00ed mo\u0159\u00ed \u201c. Polsko je ji\u017e p\u0159ipraveno z\u00edskat\u00a0<\/span><\/a>44 miliard eur v podob\u011b p\u016fj\u010dek\u00a0<\/a>z programu EU \u201eBezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed akce pro Evropu\u201c v hodnot\u011b 150 miliard eur (SAFE, kter\u00fd je sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed \u201e\u00a0Pl\u00e1nu ReArm Europe\u00a0<\/a>\u201c v hodnot\u011b 800 miliard eur). To by m\u011blo pomoci modernizovat jeho\u00a0trapn\u011b nedostate\u010dn\u011b rozvinut\u00fd vojensko-pr\u016fmyslov\u00fd komplex\u00a0<\/a>a umo\u017enit tak Polsku slou\u017eit jako region\u00e1ln\u00ed centrum souvisej\u00edc\u00edch proces\u016f ve zbytku v\u00fdchodn\u00edho k\u0159\u00eddla.<\/span><\/p>\n

V\u00fd\u0161e uveden\u00e1 role by se stala mnohem pravd\u011bpodobn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, pokud by se Polsku a Litv\u011b poda\u0159ilo vytvo\u0159it\u00a0<\/span>obrann\u011b zam\u011b\u0159enou p\u0159eshrani\u010dn\u00ed ekonomickou z\u00f3nu\u00a0<\/span><\/a>v Suwalsk\u00e9m koridoru\/pr\u016fse\u010d\u00edku, jak to pr\u00e1v\u011b navrhovala druh\u00e1 jmenovan\u00e1 zem\u011b. Americk\u00e1\u00a0<\/span>N\u00e1rodn\u00ed obrann\u00e1 strategie\u00a0<\/span><\/a>uv\u00e1d\u00ed, \u017ee \u201eevropsk\u00e9 NATO zast\u00edn\u00ed Rusko co do ekonomick\u00e9ho rozsahu, populace a tedy i latentn\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 s\u00edly\u201c. Tento potenci\u00e1l je jen t\u0159eba pln\u011b uvolnit a \u0159\u00e1dn\u011b \u0159\u00eddit. Polsko by mohlo b\u00fdt pr\u016fkopn\u00edkem v t\u00e9to oblasti, pokud dovol\u00ed USA, aby mu radily ohledn\u011b optim\u00e1ln\u00edho vyu\u017eit\u00ed \u00fav\u011br\u016f SAFE a DSRB.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ji\u017e bylo zhodnoceno, \u017ee \u201e\u00a0<\/span>Polsko bude hr\u00e1t \u00fast\u0159edn\u00ed roli v prosazov\u00e1n\u00ed N\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed strategie USA v Evrop\u011b\u00a0<\/span><\/a>\u201c, tak\u017ee z toho p\u0159irozen\u011b vypl\u00fdv\u00e1, \u017ee bude hr\u00e1t \u00fast\u0159edn\u00ed roli i v N\u00e1rodn\u00ed obrann\u00e9 strategii. Polsko v\u0161ak ji\u017e vynakl\u00e1d\u00e1 na obranu v\u00edce sv\u00e9ho HDP ne\u017e kter\u00fdkoli jin\u00fd \u010dlen NATO, a to\u00a0<\/span>4,8 %\u00a0<\/span><\/a>, tak\u017ee cokoli mnohem v\u00edce by mohlo v\u00e9st k omezen\u00ed v\u00fddaj\u016f na soci\u00e1ln\u00ed oblast a infrastrukturu, ale v tom spo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 v\u00fdznam DSRB, kter\u00fd Polsku umo\u017en\u00ed tomuto kompromisu zabr\u00e1nit, jak bylo vysv\u011btleno.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pom\u011br dluhu Polska\u00a0<\/span>k HDP\u00a0<\/span><\/a>je 55,1 %, co\u017e je hluboko pod 80,7 % v EU, tak\u017ee by se Polsko mohlo t\u011bmito prost\u0159edky d\u00e1le zadlu\u017eit, ani\u017e by to zp\u016fsobilo p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 velk\u00e9 sociopolitick\u00e9 nepohodl\u00ed. To je provediteln\u00e9 pot\u00e9, co se Polsko pr\u00e1v\u011b stalo\u00a0<\/span>ekonomikou s hodnotou 1 bilionu dolar\u016f\u00a0<\/span><\/a>. Jak\u00e9koli dodate\u010dn\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 v\u00fddaje poh\u00e1n\u011bn\u00e9 DSRB by d\u00e1le urychlily bezprecedentn\u00ed militarizaci Polska, kter\u00e1 vedla k tomu, \u017ee m\u00e1\u00a0<\/span>nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed arm\u00e1du v EU\u00a0<\/span><\/a>s v\u00edce ne\u017e 215 000 voj\u00e1ky, s pl\u00e1ny dos\u00e1hnout\u00a0<\/span>300 000 do roku 2030\u00a0<\/span><\/a>a\u00a0<\/span>p\u016fl milionu do roku 2039\u00a0<\/span><\/a>(z toho 200 000 z\u00e1lo\u017en\u00edk\u016f).<\/span><\/p>\n

Z rusk\u00e9ho pohledu to p\u0159edstavuje v\u00e1\u017enou hrozbu pro\u00a0<\/span>Kaliningrad\u00a0<\/span><\/a>a spojeneck\u00e9\u00a0<\/span>B\u011blorusko\u00a0<\/span><\/a>, a proto se o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee v reakci na to Rusko odpov\u00eddaj\u00edc\u00edm zp\u016fsobem pos\u00edl\u00ed sv\u00e9 s\u00edly. To by mohlo zahrnovat i nasazen\u00ed strategick\u00fdch zbran\u00ed v B\u011blorusku, jako jsou taktick\u00e9 jadern\u00e9 zbran\u011b, hypersonick\u00e9 syst\u00e9my Ore\u0161nik a\/nebo cokoli jin\u00e9ho, \u200b\u200bco by do t\u00e9 doby mohlo b\u00fdt vyvinuto. O\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 se, \u017ee Polsko takov\u00e9 reakce vykresl\u00ed jako d\u016fvod sv\u00e9 bezprecedentn\u00ed militarizace, jej\u00ed\u017e dal\u0161\u00ed urychlen\u00ed by pak politici mohli po\u017eadovat.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rusko-polsk\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed dilema, kter\u00e9 je d\u00e1no jejich\u00a0<\/span>tis\u00edciletou rivalitou\u00a0<\/span><\/a>a posilov\u00e1n\u00edm Polska jako protirusk\u00e9ho prost\u0159edn\u00edka ze strany USA, pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b poslou\u017e\u00ed jako impuls k pln\u00e9mu uvoln\u011bn\u00ed a \u0159\u00e1dn\u00e9mu \u0159\u00edzen\u00ed kapacit evropsk\u00e9ho NATO jako celku v souladu s americkou N\u00e1rodn\u00ed obrannou strategi\u00ed. Jak\u00fdkoli pokrok v tomto sm\u011bru by donutil Rusko dr\u017eet krok s polskou militarizac\u00ed tohoto nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00e9ho bloku, co\u017e by vedlo k jeho vlastn\u00ed pokra\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed militarizaci a n\u00e1sledn\u011b k z\u00e1vod\u016fm ve zbrojen\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Na rozd\u00edl od evropsk\u00fdch \u010dlen\u016f NATO, kte\u0159\u00ed si budou muset na financov\u00e1n\u00ed tohoto procesu br\u00e1t p\u016fj\u010dky, a proto je DSRB \u00fa\u010del, si Rusko m\u016f\u017ee v\u0161e financovat samo. To stav\u00ed Rusko do mnohem lep\u0161\u00ed finan\u010dn\u00ed pozice ne\u017e jeho protivn\u00edci, z nich\u017e n\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed se pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b budou pot\u00fdkat s vyva\u017eov\u00e1n\u00edm sv\u00fdch vn\u00edman\u00fdch vojensk\u00fdch priorit s objektivn\u00edmi socioekonomick\u00fdmi prioritami. Rusko m\u00e1 tedy v tomto hroz\u00edc\u00edm z\u00e1vod\u011b ve zbrojen\u00ed s Evropou v\u00fdhodu, ale\u00a0<\/span>potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed\u00a0<\/span><\/a>federalizace EU\u00a0<\/a>by mohla tento rozd\u00edl zmen\u0161it, pokud k n\u011bmu n\u011bkdy dojde.<\/span><\/p>\n

Andrew Korybko, PhD<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Rusko-polsk\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed dilema pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b poslou\u017e\u00ed jako impuls k pln\u00e9mu uvoln\u011bn\u00ed a \u0159\u00e1dn\u00e9mu \u0159\u00edzen\u00ed kapacit evropsk\u00e9ho…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":101038,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,528,45,39],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/101037"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=101037"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/101037\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/101038"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=101037"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=101037"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=101037"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}