{"id":100997,"date":"2026-03-04T06:41:02","date_gmt":"2026-03-04T05:41:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=100997"},"modified":"2026-03-04T06:41:02","modified_gmt":"2026-03-04T05:41:02","slug":"michael-svatos-usa-se-bohorovne-zapletly-do-putinovy-genialni-iranske-pavuciny","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/03\/04\/michael-svatos-usa-se-bohorovne-zapletly-do-putinovy-genialni-iranske-pavuciny\/","title":{"rendered":"Michael Svato\u0161: USA se bohorovn\u011b zapletly do Putinovy geni\u00e1ln\u00ed ir\u00e1nsk\u00e9 pavu\u010diny"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<h3>USA se bohorovn\u011b zapletly do Putinovy geni\u00e1ln\u00ed ir\u00e1nsk\u00e9 pavu\u010diny. A u\u017e se z n\u00ed nemohou vymotat. A pavouci p\u0159itom u\u017e \u010dekaj\u00ed na svou chv\u00edli.<\/h3>\n<p>V\u00e1lka USA a Izraele proti Ir\u00e1nu bude podle v\u010derej\u0161\u00edch ir\u00e1nsk\u00fdch vyhl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed trvat dlouho. \u201c<em>\u00cdr\u00e1n se na rozd\u00edl od Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f p\u0159ipravil na dlouhou v\u00e1lku. Stejn\u011b jako v uplynul\u00fdch 300 letech \u00cdr\u00e1n tuto v\u00e1lku neza\u010dal a na\u0161e state\u010dn\u00e9 ozbrojen\u00e9 s\u00edly se nezapojily do \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fdch \u00fatok\u016f krom\u011b obrann\u00fdch. Budeme zu\u0159iv\u011b br\u00e1nit sebe a na\u0161i \u0161est tis\u00edc let starou civilizaci bez ohledu na cenu, kterou zaplat\u00edme, a na\u0161e nep\u0159\u00e1tele donut\u00edme litovat jejich chybn\u00e9ho odhadu.<\/em>\u201c,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.globaltimes.cn\/page\/202603\/1356176.shtml\">vyhl\u00e1sil v\u010dera Al\u00ed Larid\u017e\u00e1n\u00ed<\/a>.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_24046\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"width: 648px;\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\" wp-image-24046\" src=\"https:\/\/www.michalapetr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/960px-Msc_2007-Sunday_09.00_-_11.00_Uhr_-Zwez006_Larijani.jpg\" sizes=\"(max-width: 960px) 100vw, 960px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.michalapetr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/960px-Msc_2007-Sunday_09.00_-_11.00_Uhr_-Zwez006_Larijani.jpg 960w, https:\/\/www.michalapetr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/960px-Msc_2007-Sunday_09.00_-_11.00_Uhr_-Zwez006_Larijani-229x300.jpg 229w, https:\/\/www.michalapetr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/960px-Msc_2007-Sunday_09.00_-_11.00_Uhr_-Zwez006_Larijani-788x1030.jpg 788w, https:\/\/www.michalapetr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/960px-Msc_2007-Sunday_09.00_-_11.00_Uhr_-Zwez006_Larijani-768x1004.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.michalapetr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/960px-Msc_2007-Sunday_09.00_-_11.00_Uhr_-Zwez006_Larijani-539x705.jpg 539w, https:\/\/www.michalapetr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/960px-Msc_2007-Sunday_09.00_-_11.00_Uhr_-Zwez006_Larijani-450x588.jpg 450w\" alt=\"\" width=\"648\" height=\"847\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-24046\" \/><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-24046\" class=\"wp-caption-text\" style=\"text-align: justify;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Ali_Larijani\">Larid\u017e\u00e1n\u00ed<\/a>\u00a0je b\u00fdval\u00fd komand\u00fdr Ir\u00e1nsk\u00fdch revolu\u010dn\u00edch gard a expert na \u201cz\u00e1padn\u00ed filosofii\u201d. Napsal \u0159adu d\u011bl o\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Immanuel_Kant\">Immanuelu Kantovi<\/a>,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Saul_Kripke\">Saulu Kripke<\/a>, a\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/David_Lewis_(philosopher)\">Davidu Lewisovi<\/a>.\u00a0Larid\u017e\u00e1n\u00ed je\u00a0p\u0159edstavitelem ultrakonzervativn\u00edho k\u0159\u00eddla vl\u00e1dnouc\u00edch ir\u00e1nsk\u00fdch klerik\u016f a \u00fa\u0159aduj\u00edc\u00edm tajemn\u00edkem\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Supreme_National_Security_Council\">Nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed ir\u00e1nsk\u00e9 v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 rady<\/a>, kter\u00e1 m\u00e1 pod kontrolou i jadernou politiku zem\u011b, a tud\u00ed\u017e jeho slova \u201co p\u0159ipravenosti Ir\u00e1nu, v\u00e9st dlouhou v\u00e1lku\u201d, lze br\u00e1t naprosto v\u00e1\u017en\u011b.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Dlouh\u00e1 v\u00e1lka veden\u00e1 Ir\u00e1nem proti USA a Izraeli, tak jak ji v\u010dera vyhl\u00e1sil Larid\u017e\u00e1n\u00ed, je mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u011b rafinovan\u00fd pl\u00e1n, a pokud se Ir\u00e1n na jej\u00ed dlouhodob\u00e9 veden\u00ed opravdu dob\u0159e p\u0159ipravil, nen\u00ed vylou\u010deno, \u017ee v n\u00ed nakonec s pomoc\u00ed Ruska a \u010c\u00edny usp\u011bje.<\/p>\n<p>Prvn\u00ed \u00fasp\u011bch u\u017e Ir\u00e1n dos\u00e1hnul. V\u00e1lka trv\u00e1 sotva 5 dn\u00ed, a Z\u00e1pad je u\u017e v hysterick\u00e9 panice, proto\u017ee Ir\u00e1n \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u011b zablokoval Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv a vypaluje arabsk\u00fdm ropn\u00fdm \u0161ejk\u016fm jejich rafinerie, ropovody, a podpaluje jejich ropn\u00e1 a plynov\u00e1 pole, i n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed t\u011b\u017eebn\u00ed v\u011b\u017ee. Tento kombinovan\u00fd \u00fatok m\u00e1 podle analytik\u016f kapacitu zv\u00fd\u0161it ceny ropy a plynu na 4 n\u00e1sobek jejich pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e9 ceny za posledn\u00ed dva roky, ropu a\u017e nad 200 USD za barel. Kl\u00ed\u010dovou podm\u00ednkou je, aby Ir\u00e1n udr\u017eel Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv uzav\u0159en\u00fd po dobu p\u0159ekra\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed jeden m\u011bs\u00edc, a pak, co nejd\u00e9le, aby se ekonomick\u00e9 dopady na z\u00e1padn\u00ed ekonomiky dramaticky projevily. A Ir\u00e1n m\u00e1 k dispozici v\u00fdbornou \u0161anci, jak Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv udr\u017eet zablokovan\u00fd \u2013 a to nep\u0159ekvapiv\u011b rusk\u00fdmi drony na optick\u00fdch vl\u00e1knech!<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_24049\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"width: 556px;\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\" wp-image-24049\" src=\"https:\/\/www.michalapetr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/SA_3172_0.jpg\" sizes=\"(max-width: 480px) 100vw, 480px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.michalapetr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/SA_3172_0.jpg 480w, https:\/\/www.michalapetr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/SA_3172_0-300x191.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.michalapetr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/SA_3172_0-450x286.jpg 450w\" alt=\"\" width=\"556\" height=\"353\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-24049\" \/><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-24049\" class=\"wp-caption-text\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv =\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.gpsnauticalcharts.com\/main\/nautical-chart\/sa_3172_0-strait-of-hormuz-nautical-chart.html\">plavebn\u00ed dr\u00e1ha fialov\u011b<\/a>\u00a0=\u00a0je od ir\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/maps\/@27.0141479,57.1140024,140447m\/data=!3m1!1e3?entry=ttu&amp;g_ep=EgoyMDI2MDMwMS4xIKXMDSoASAFQAw%3D%3D\">na vzd\u00e1lenost 35 a\u017e 45 km<\/a>, a tedy je v dosahu sou\u010dasn\u00fdch dron\u016f na optick\u00fdch vl\u00e1knech. A to nen\u00ed v\u0161echno.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Tankery mus\u00ed v Hormuzsk\u00e9m pr\u016flivu plout p\u0159es 150km ve vzd\u00e1lenosti pr\u016fm\u011brn\u011b 40 km od ir\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed. Maxim\u00e1ln\u00ed rychlost civiln\u00edch tanker\u016f je zhruba 30km\/h, a u tanker\u016f LNG dokonce \u010dasto jen 20km\/h. Tankery se tak mus\u00ed pohybovat 5 a\u017e 8 hodin v opera\u010dn\u00edm r\u00e1diu ir\u00e1nsk\u00fdch (rusk\u00fdch) taktick\u00fdch zabij\u00e1ck\u00fdch dron\u016f. A ke zni\u010den\u00ed tankeru jeho podp\u00e1len\u00edm p\u0159itom sta\u010d\u00ed jedin\u00fd \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00fd \u00fader takov\u00e9ho to dronu.<\/p>\n<p>Pokud se americk\u00e9 lo\u010fstvo pokus\u00ed, jak sl\u00edbil Trump, zorganizovat v Hormuzsk\u00e9m pr\u016flivu konvoje tanker\u016f a chr\u00e1nit je sv\u00fdmi torp\u00e9doborci a fregatami, bude to p\u0159edstavovat nadlidsk\u00fd \u00fakol. Zku\u0161enosti z v\u00e1lky na Ukrajin\u011b ukazuj\u00ed, \u017ee dva oper\u00e1to\u0159i taktick\u00fdch zabij\u00e1ck\u00fdch dron\u016f na optick\u00fdch vl\u00e1knech pot\u0159ebuj\u00ed jeden d\u016fm ke sv\u00e9mu ukryt\u00ed, aby v n\u011bm \u010d\u00edhali na sv\u00e9 ob\u011bti. Kolem Hormuszsk\u00e9 plavebn\u00ed dr\u00e1hy se nach\u00e1z\u00ed ir\u00e1nsk\u00e1 provincie\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/ru.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/%D0%A5%D0%BE%D1%80%D0%BC%D0%BE%D0%B7%D0%B3%D0%B0%D0%BD\">Hormozgan<\/a>, a v n\u00ed \u017eije 1.5 milionu obyvatel, a jen hlavn\u00ed m\u011bsto provincie p\u0159\u00edstav\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/cs.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Bandar_Abb%C3%A1s\">Bandar Abb\u00e1s<\/a>\u00a0m\u00e1 p\u0159es 500 tis\u00edc obyvatel, a je tak jasn\u00e9, \u017ee p\u0159i pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed provincie Hormozgan, kter\u00e9 m\u00e1 se v\u0161emi z\u00e1tokami d\u00e9lku 1000km a kter\u00e9 jako p\u016flm\u011bs\u00edc lemuje Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv, se najdou tis\u00edce nen\u00e1padn\u00fdch skr\u00fd\u0161\u00ed pro dvojice ir\u00e1nsk\u00fdch oper\u00e1tor\u016f taktick\u00fdch zabij\u00e1ck\u00fdch dron\u016f, kter\u00e9 budou \u010d\u00edhat, a\u017e Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 vpluj\u00ed do plaven\u00ed dr\u00e1hy Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu, aby je poslali ke dnu.<\/p>\n<p>Nejv\u00fdkonn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed z\u00e1padn\u00ed torp\u00e9doborec, americk\u00fd Arleigh Burke,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/militarywatchmagazine.com\/article\/britain-air-defence-destroyer-iranian-strikes\">disponuje 96 vertik\u00e1ln\u00edmi odpalovac\u00edmi bu\u0148kami<\/a>\u00a0protiraketov\u00fdch, protiletadlov\u00fdch a protidronov\u00fdch st\u0159el. Nejv\u00fdkonn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed britsk\u00fd typ 45 HMS Duncan p\u0159itom\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/militarywatchmagazine.com\/article\/britain-air-defence-destroyer-iranian-strikes\">disponuje jen 48 t\u011bmito bu\u0148kami<\/a>, a uk\u00e1zal se u\u017e, \u017ee je i na \u0161ir\u00e9m mo\u0159i (anglick\u00fd opera\u010dn\u00ed term\u00edn \u201chigh seas\u201d, obvykle 250km od pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed a v\u00edce), neschopen dlouhodob\u011b \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u011b odvracet \u00fatoky dron\u016f a raket. A v tomto p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b ochrany konvoj\u016f tanker\u016f v Hormuzsk\u00e9m pr\u016flivu nep\u016fjde o operaci v prostoru \u201chigh seas\u201d, ale o n\u011bkolikahodinovou operaci p\u0159i pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed, a tedy v dosahu mo\u017en\u00e1 a\u017e tis\u00edc\u016f taktick\u00fdch zabij\u00e1ck\u00fdch dron\u016f.<\/p>\n<p>Rusk\u00e1 vojensk\u00e1 dopravn\u00ed letadla IL-76TD uskute\u010dnila od konce lo\u0148sk\u00e9ho prosince do konce leto\u0161n\u00edho ledna nejm\u00e9n\u011b 4 lety do Ir\u00e1nu, a a\u010dkoli nen\u00ed zn\u00e1mo, co p\u0159esn\u011b p\u0159epravovala,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.longwarjournal.org\/archives\/2026\/02\/russia-to-supply-iran-with-shoulder-fired-air-defense-system.php\">m\u00e1 se za to<\/a>, \u017ee protiletadlov\u00e9 st\u0159ely 9K333 Verba s termovizn\u00edm zam\u011b\u0159ova\u010dem Mowgli-2, podle \u010derstv\u011b podepsan\u00e9 rusko-ir\u00e1nsk\u00e9 smlouvy.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_24056\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"width: 700px;\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\" wp-image-24056\" src=\"https:\/\/www.michalapetr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/verba-550-1536x1089-1.jpg\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1536px) 100vw, 1536px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.michalapetr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/verba-550-1536x1089-1.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.michalapetr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/verba-550-1536x1089-1-300x213.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.michalapetr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/verba-550-1536x1089-1-1030x730.jpg 1030w, https:\/\/www.michalapetr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/verba-550-1536x1089-1-768x545.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.michalapetr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/verba-550-1536x1089-1-1500x1063.jpg 1500w, https:\/\/www.michalapetr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/verba-550-1536x1089-1-260x185.jpg 260w, https:\/\/www.michalapetr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/verba-550-1536x1089-1-705x500.jpg 705w, https:\/\/www.michalapetr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/verba-550-1536x1089-1-450x319.jpg 450w\" alt=\"\" width=\"700\" height=\"496\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-24056\" \/><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-24056\" class=\"wp-caption-text\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">Mo\u017en\u00e1 a\u017e tis\u00edce nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00edch rusk\u00fdch st\u0159el 9K333\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.longwarjournal.org\/archives\/2026\/02\/russia-to-supply-iran-with-shoulder-fired-air-defense-system.php\">byly od prosince 25 do ledna 26 dod\u00e1ny letecky Ir\u00e1nu<\/a>\u00a0pr\u00e1v\u011b pro nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00ed bitvu o Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv, v n\u00ed\u017e mohou sehr\u00e1t rozhoduj\u00edc\u00ed roli proti americk\u00e9mu letectvu, kter\u00e9mu p\u0159i bitv\u011b nezbyde, ne\u017e klesnout na ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed letov\u00e9 hladiny, aby dok\u00e1zalo 100% sest\u0159elovat ir\u00e1nsk\u00e9 (rusk\u00e9) taktick\u00e9 zabij\u00e1ck\u00e9 drony, kter\u00e9 budou nejsp\u00ed\u0161 \u00fato\u010dit na Trumpem u\u017e ohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00e9 americk\u00e9 konvoje, kter\u00fdm nezb\u00fdv\u00e1 ne\u017e plout 30-40km od ir\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Tato nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed p\u0159enosn\u00e1 rusk\u00e1 protiletadlov\u00e1 st\u0159ela m\u00e1 d\u00e1lkov\u00fd dosah 6km, v\u00fd\u0161kov\u00fd 4.5km, a a\u010dkoli z\u00e1padn\u00ed analytici shodn\u011b minul\u00fd m\u011bs\u00edc tvrdili, \u017ee proti n\u00e1let\u016fm americk\u00fdch a izraelsk\u00fdch letadel bude bezmocn\u00e1, proto\u017ee ta l\u00e9taj\u00ed ve vy\u0161\u0161\u00edch v\u00fd\u0161k\u00e1ch, ne\u017e kam st\u0159ela dolet\u00ed. Jej\u00ed rychl\u00e9 dod\u00e1n\u00ed z Ruska do Ir\u00e1nu d\u00e1v\u00e1 smysl pr\u00e1v\u011b pro nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00ed bitvu o Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv.<\/p>\n<p>Aby Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 konvoje tanker\u016f ubr\u00e1nili proti n\u00e1let\u016fm ir\u00e1nsk\u00fdch taktick\u00fdch zabij\u00e1ck\u00fdch dron\u016f, budou muset d\u016fkladn\u011b ze vzduchu st\u0159e\u017eit prostor ir\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed o d\u00e9lce 1000km a hloubce 20-30km, aby mohli v\u010das zlikvidovat v\u0161echny vypu\u0161t\u011bn\u00e9 taktick\u00e9 drony, a ni\u010dit doupata jejich oper\u00e1tor\u016f a z\u00e1sobovac\u00ed dod\u00e1vky. A k tomu mus\u00ed nasadit stovky dron\u016f s \u0159\u00edzen\u00fdmi st\u0159elami, a stovky vrtuln\u00edk\u016f, a jejich bojov\u00e1 letadla budou muset klesnout z bezpe\u010dn\u00e9 v\u00fd\u0161ky, aby mohla st\u0159elami\u00a0<span class=\"mw-page-title-main\"><a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/AIM-9_Sidewinder\">AIM-9 Sidewinder<\/a>\u00a0\u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u011b ni\u010dit nal\u00e9t\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00ed ir\u00e1nsk\u00e9 taktick\u00e9 drony. A pr\u00e1v\u011b proti t\u011bmto americk\u00fdm dron\u016fm, vrtuln\u00edk\u016fm a letadl\u016fm v n\u00edzk\u00fdch v\u00fd\u0161k\u00e1ch p\u0159edstavuj\u00ed st\u0159ely 9K333 Verba s ultrafialov\u00fdm nav\u00e1d\u011bn\u00edm smrtelnou zbra\u0148.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Pokud se Ir\u00e1n takto na bitvu o Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv d\u016fkladn\u011b p\u0159ipravil, nezbude Ameri\u010dan\u016fm nic, ne\u017e kapitulovat pod ekonomick\u00fdm tlakem, riskovat por\u00e1\u017eku sv\u00e9ho lo\u010fstva v Hormuzsk\u00e9m pr\u016flivu, a nebo budou muset obsadit cel\u00e9 ir\u00e1nsk\u00e9 pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed v provincii Hormozgan, nebo jeho zna\u010dnou \u010d\u00e1st. Do \u00fatoku proti konvoj\u016fm se toti\u017e mohou zapojit i ir\u00e1nsk\u00e9 drony \u0160ah\u00edd, a dal\u0161\u00ed rakety kr\u00e1tk\u00e9ho doletu, kter\u00e9 jsou mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u011b mobiln\u00ed, a Ir\u00e1nci je mohou vypalovat z p\u0159\u00edstavu Bandar Abb\u00e1s, nebo z dal\u0161\u00edch m\u011bst a vesnic pod\u00e9l pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed. Pokud nebude Ir\u00e1n rychle pora\u017een masivn\u00ed destrukc\u00ed sv\u00e9 civiln\u00ed infrastruktury a neztrat\u00ed v\u016fli vzdorovat, m\u016f\u017ee USA donutit k t\u00e9to v\u00fdsadkov\u00e9 pozemn\u00ed operaci.<\/p>\n<p>V USA zat\u00edm nepanuje n\u00e1lada podporuj\u00edc\u00ed pozemn\u00ed vtr\u017een\u00ed do Ir\u00e1nu. Americk\u00e9 pr\u016fzkumy zat\u00edm ukazuj\u00ed podporu leteck\u00e9 v\u00e1lky proti Ir\u00e1nu 41% PRO, 59 PROTI, a p\u0159\u00edpadn\u00e1 pozemn\u00ed v\u00e1lka by o\u017eivila neblah\u00e9 vzpom\u00ednky na 23 000 americk\u00fdch ob\u011bt\u00ed v\u00e1lky v Afganist\u00e1nu,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.pucara.org\/post\/ir%C3%A1n-y-guerras-inesperadamente-largas\">jak ned\u00e1vno varoval<\/a>\u00a0australsk\u00fd\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Mick_Ryan_(general)\">gener\u00e1l Mick Ryan<\/a>.\u00a0\u00a0P\u0159esn\u00e9\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/dcas.dmdc.osd.mil\/dcas\/app\/conflictCasualties\/oef\/byCategory\">ofici\u00e1ln\u00ed po\u010dty padl\u00fdch a zran\u011bn\u00fdch najdete zde<\/a>.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_24060\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"width: 725px;\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\" wp-image-24060\" src=\"https:\/\/www.michalapetr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/okplko.jpg\" sizes=\"(max-width: 900px) 100vw, 900px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.michalapetr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/okplko.jpg 900w, https:\/\/www.michalapetr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/okplko-300x168.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.michalapetr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/okplko-768x430.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.michalapetr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/okplko-705x395.jpg 705w, https:\/\/www.michalapetr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/okplko-450x252.jpg 450w\" alt=\"\" width=\"725\" height=\"406\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-24060\" \/><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-24060\" class=\"wp-caption-text\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">Ir\u00e1nsk\u00e9 drony dok\u00e1\u017e\u00ed pr\u00fd dolet\u011bt a\u017e na Kypr, a to d\u00edky rusk\u00e9 technologii Kometa-M, (na sn\u00edmku), kter\u00e1 umo\u017e\u0148uje elektronicky neru\u0161enou komunikaci p\u0159es rusk\u00fd satelit mezi ir\u00e1nsk\u00fdm oper\u00e1torem a ir\u00e1nsk\u00fdm dronem.\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/defender_iran\/55786\">Zde je k tomu kr\u00e1tk\u00e9 ir\u00e1nsk\u00e9 video<\/a>. (Technicky je tedy velmi pravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, \u017ee jak rakety Verba, tak pr\u00e1v\u011b tyto p\u0159\u00edstroje Kometa-M byly Ir\u00e1nu dod\u00e1ny 4 rusk\u00fdmi dopravn\u00edmi letadly IL-76 t\u011bsn\u011b p\u0159ed americko-izraelsk\u00fdm \u00fatokem.)<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Rusko-ir\u00e1nsk\u00e1 past na Izrael a USA byla z\u0159ejm\u011b dob\u0159e p\u0159ipraven\u00e1. Na rozd\u00edl od p\u0159edchoz\u00ed lo\u0148sk\u00e9 v\u00e1lky Ir\u00e1n zm\u011bnil taktiku \u00fatok\u016f sv\u00fdch raket a dron\u016f. U\u017e ne\u00fato\u010d\u00ed v n\u011bkolika m\u00e1lo velk\u00fdch vln\u00e1ch, ale tak\u0159ka nep\u0159etr\u017eit\u011b mnohem men\u0161\u00edmi roji. Tato taktika, pokud ji Ir\u00e1n udr\u017e\u00ed, klade vysok\u00e9 n\u00e1roky na leteck\u00e9 a protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 s\u00edly USA a Izraele, proto\u017ee zejm\u00e9na letadla a vrtuln\u00edky mus\u00ed neust\u00e1le krou\u017eit ve vzduchu, aby tyto nep\u0159etr\u017eit\u00e9 \u00fatoky odr\u00e1\u017eely. A to klade obrovsk\u00e9 n\u00e1roky na logistick\u00e9 \u0159et\u011bzce, spot\u0159ebu paliva, a od\u010derp\u00e1v\u00e1 neuv\u011b\u0159iteln\u00e9 hodiny let\u016f z penza letov\u00fdch hodin pilot\u016f, a \u00fanava se bude \u0161\u00ed\u0159it. V noci na dne\u0161ek (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.aljazeera.com\/news\/liveblog\/2026\/3\/4\/iran-live-news-us-embassy-in-dubai-hit-israel-pounds-tehran-beirut\">zde v \u010dase 01.50 GMT<\/a>) svolal Pentagon v\u0161echny sv\u00e9 \u201czbrojmistry\u201d a \u201cdodavatele\u201d, a po\u017eadoval po nich prudk\u00e9 zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed v\u00fdroby. Zde (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.aljazeera.com\/news\/liveblog\/2026\/3\/4\/iran-live-news-us-embassy-in-dubai-hit-israel-pounds-tehran-beirut\">v \u010dase 03.00 GMT<\/a>) m\u00e1te nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed chmurnou odbornou analytickou zpr\u00e1vu zve\u0159ejn\u011bnou dnes ve 04.00 r\u00e1no o vlivu vypalov\u00e1n\u00ed arabsk\u00fdch rafineri\u00ed a uzav\u0159en\u00ed pr\u016flivu Hormuz.<\/p>\n<p>Pokud si polo\u017e\u00edte ot\u00e1zky \u2013 Pro\u010d Ir\u00e1n a Rusko bez boje vyklidily S\u00fdrii, kdy\u017e Ir\u00e1n tou dobou disponoval 1 milionem revolu\u010dn\u00edch gardist\u016f a revolu\u010dn\u00edch milicion\u00e1\u0159\u016f, kde\u017eto Syrsk\u00e1 islamistick\u00e1 opozice jen n\u011bkolika m\u00e1lo 10 tis\u00edci v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00edky? \u2013 A pro\u010d Ir\u00e1n tak rychle kapituloval p\u0159i lo\u0148sk\u00fdch \u00fatoc\u00edch Izraele a USA na sv\u016fj jadern\u00fd program? Za\u010dne b\u00fdt mo\u017en\u00e9, \u017ee to bylo jen p\u0159edst\u00edr\u00e1n\u00ed slabosti, kter\u00e9 m\u011blo USA a Izraele vyprovokovat k sou\u010dasn\u00e9mu \u00fatoku.<\/p>\n<p>Pokud si polo\u017e\u00edte dal\u0161\u00ed ot\u00e1zku \u2013 Pro\u010d nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 Ir\u00e1nu byli o v\u00edkendu tak snadno zlikvidov\u00e1ni, proto\u017ee nijak neskr\u00fdvali m\u00edsta sv\u00e9ho pobytu \u2013\u00a0 Odpov\u011b\u010f m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt podobn\u00e1 \u2013 N\u00e1bo\u017een\u0161t\u00ed v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00edci se velmi r\u00e1di ob\u011btuj\u00ed, aby dos\u00e1hli sv\u00e9ho c\u00edle, a byla to tedy past.<\/p>\n<p>USA i Z\u00e1pad i Izrael nemaj\u00ed nyn\u00ed v Z\u00e1livu, a kolem Ir\u00e1nu dostate\u010dnou pozemn\u00ed arm\u00e1du, aby mohly do Ir\u00e1nu vtrhnout. Jej\u00ed rozm\u00edst\u011bn\u00ed, p\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1 obrovskou logistickou operaci, a na tu ani USA nyn\u00ed nemaj\u00ed dostate\u010dn\u00e9 p\u0159epravn\u00ed kapacity, ani z\u00e1soby, ani pot\u0159ebn\u011b po\u010detn\u00e9 ozbrojen\u00e9 s\u00edly. Bu\u010f USA mobilizuj\u00ed z\u00e1lohy, a nebo se USA pokus\u00ed do v\u00e1lky zat\u00e1hnout arabsk\u00e9 re\u017eimy. Le\u010d v tom pr\u00e1v\u011b spo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 past \u2013 pokud arab\u0161t\u00ed v\u011b\u0159\u00edc\u00ed \u2013 stoupenci All\u00e1ha \u2013 p\u0159epadnou ir\u00e1nsk\u00e9 v\u011b\u0159\u00edc\u00ed \u2013 stoupence All\u00e1ha \u2013 a to v \u017eoldu Ameri\u010dan\u016f \u2013 stoupenc\u016f Krista, a Izraelc\u016f \u2013 stoupenc\u016f Jehovy, pak nastane mezi arabsk\u00fdmi v\u011b\u0159\u00edc\u00edmi rozkol, a dobrovoln\u00edci se do teroristick\u00fdch n\u00e1bo\u017eensk\u00fdch organizac\u00ed budou jenom hrnout. Arabsk\u00e9 re\u017eimy maj\u00ed u\u017e te\u010f pln\u00e9 ruce pr\u00e1ce, aby jejich p\u0159\u00edliv udr\u017eely pod kontrolou, a nep\u0159edstavoval hrozbu pro jejich re\u017eimy. Ale vypukne-li \u201cHoly War\u201d, mohou se v\u0161echny arabsk\u00e9 zem\u011b v okol\u00ed Ir\u00e1nu n\u00e1hle prom\u011bnit v boji\u0161t\u011b ob\u010dansk\u00e9 n\u00e1bo\u017eensk\u00e9 v\u00e1lky, podobn\u011b jako tomu bylo v S\u00fdrii.<\/p>\n<p>A\u010dkoli nen\u00ed jist\u00e9, \u017ee Putin tuto past p\u0159ipravil, je jist\u00e9, \u017ee bude jej\u00edm beneficientem. A zat\u00edm se zd\u00e1, \u017ee pavu\u010dina pasti u\u017e br\u00e1n\u00ed USA i Izraeli z n\u00ed vyklouznout beze ztr\u00e1ty reputace neporaziteln\u00fdch vojensk\u00fdch sil. Pokud tedy Ir\u00e1n bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed vydr\u017e\u00ed, a na bitvu o Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv se d\u016fkladn\u011b p\u0159ipravil, nastane ve sv\u011bt\u011b velk\u00e1 mela. Nav\u00edc, letos v \u00fanoru \u010c\u00edna zdra\u017eila na trojn\u00e1sobek cenu optick\u00fdch kabel\u016f pro ovl\u00e1d\u00e1n\u00ed dron\u016f. Je tedy po nich mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u011b zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00e1 popt\u00e1vka. Proto\u017ee, kdyby cht\u011bla jejich dod\u00e1vky Ir\u00e1nu a Rusku omezit, nezdra\u017eila by, proto\u017ee cena t\u00e9to komodity pro kupuj\u00edc\u00ed nehraje \u017e\u00e1dnou roli, \u017ee. A dron\u016f na optick\u00fdch vl\u00e1knech tedy n\u011bkdo buduje mra\u010dna. Na koho je vypust\u00ed existuj\u00ed dv\u011b mo\u017enosti \u2013 na ukrajinsk\u00e9 p\u011b\u0161\u00e1ky, nebo na americk\u00e9 mari\u0148\u00e1ky.<\/p>\n<p><em>Anal\u00fdza dala mrak pr\u00e1ce, proto vy\u0161la se zpo\u017ed\u011bn\u00edm, a\u010dkoli jsem ji sl\u00edbil u\u017e na v\u010derej\u0161\u00ed ve\u010der, d\u011bkuji za pochopen\u00ed.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.michalapetr.com\/map-2544-usa-se-bohorovne-zapletly-do-putinovy-genialni-iranske-pavuciny-a-uz-se-z-ni-nemohou-vymotat-a-pavouci-pritom-uz-cekaji-na-svou-chvili-analyza\/\">Michael Svato\u0161<\/a><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-27204\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Michael_Svatos.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"180\" height=\"180\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Michael_Svatos.png 180w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Michael_Svatos-150x150.png 150w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 180px) 100vw, 180px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>USA se bohorovn\u011b zapletly do Putinovy geni\u00e1ln\u00ed ir\u00e1nsk\u00e9 pavu\u010diny. A u\u017e se z n\u00ed nemohou&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":72287,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1042,38,102,452,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/100997"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=100997"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/100997\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/72287"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=100997"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=100997"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=100997"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}