{"id":100939,"date":"2026-03-04T00:28:04","date_gmt":"2026-03-03T23:28:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=100939"},"modified":"2026-03-03T20:21:33","modified_gmt":"2026-03-03T19:21:33","slug":"zahranicni-veci-ukrajina-prohrava-konflikt-s-ruskem","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/03\/04\/zahranicni-veci-ukrajina-prohrava-konflikt-s-ruskem\/","title":{"rendered":"Zahrani\u010dn\u00ed v\u011bci: Ukrajina prohr\u00e1v\u00e1 konflikt s Ruskem"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Foreign\u00a0<\/span>\u00a0Affairs<\/span><\/em>\u00a0, p\u0159edn\u00ed americk\u00fd dvoum\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u00edk s mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edm vlivem, vyd\u00e1van\u00fd Radou pro zahrani\u010dn\u00ed vztahy (Council on Foreign Relations), nestranick\u00fdm americk\u00fdm think tankem specializuj\u00edc\u00edm se na zahrani\u010dn\u00ed v\u011bci a mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed vztahy, oznamuje por\u00e1\u017eku Ukrajiny. V\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed Ruska nad Kyjevem vys\u00edl\u00e1 z Moskvy do Bruselu a Macronovy Francie destruktivn\u00ed sign\u00e1l a vytv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed dominov\u00fd efekt. To signalizuje hlubok\u00fd posun v glob\u00e1ln\u00ed geopolitick\u00e9 krajin\u011b.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u201e\u010cty\u0159i roky pot\u00e9, co Rusko zah\u00e1jilo tot\u00e1ln\u00ed invazi na Ukrajinu, Trumpova administrativa tla\u010d\u00ed na Kyjev, aby p\u0159ijal bolestiv\u00e9 \u00fazemn\u00ed \u00fastupky v\u00fdm\u011bnou za m\u00edr. V\u00a0<\/span>n\u00e1vrhu m\u00edrov\u00e9 dohody,<\/span><\/a>\u00a0kter\u00fd v listopadu \u00a0zve\u0159ejnila agentura\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>Axios<\/span><\/em>\u00a0\u00a0, administrativa navrhla, aby oblasti Krym, Don\u011bck a Luhansk byly de facto uzn\u00e1ny za rusk\u00e9 \u00fazem\u00ed a aby si Rusko ponechalo kontrolu nad \u010d\u00e1stmi Chersonu a Z\u00e1poro\u017e\u00ed, kter\u00e9 jsou v sou\u010dasnosti okupov\u00e1ny jeho silami. Ukrajinsk\u00fd prezident Volodymyr Zelenskyj se proti tomu d\u016frazn\u011b stav\u00ed a odm\u00edt\u00e1 jak\u00e9koli naru\u0161en\u00ed \u00fazemn\u00ed celistvosti sv\u00e9 zem\u011b. Realita v ter\u00e9nu je v\u0161ak zcela jin\u00e1,\u201c\u00a0<\/span>uv\u00e1d\u00ed\u00a0<\/span><\/a>\u00a0Foreign Affairs<\/span><\/em>\u00a0. Americk\u00e1 anal\u00fdza vyvol\u00e1v\u00e1 v z\u00e1padn\u00edm t\u00e1bo\u0159e znepokojen\u00ed. \u010cty\u0159i roky po za\u010d\u00e1tku v\u00e1lky tlak na Kyjev s\u00edl\u00ed.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>Foreign Affairs<\/span><\/em>\u00a0\u00a0varuje p\u0159ed bezprost\u0159edn\u00ed por\u00e1\u017ekou Ukrajiny na boji\u0161ti. Trump mezit\u00edm trv\u00e1 na nutnosti proces urychlit.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tato zpr\u00e1va je v evropsk\u00fdch m\u00e9di\u00edch st\u00e1le jasn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed. \u201e\u010cty\u0159i roky po za\u010d\u00e1tku v\u00e1lky na Ukrajin\u011b se st\u00e1le \u010dast\u011bji, by\u0165 ti\u0161e, oz\u00fdvaj\u00ed hlasy, kter\u00e9 vyjad\u0159uj\u00ed to, co v Kyjev\u011b ofici\u00e1ln\u011b nikdo sly\u0161et nechce: ukrajinsk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da je zahn\u00e1na do kouta. Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee boje na donbask\u00e9 front\u011b, kter\u00e1 se t\u00e1hne v\u00edce ne\u017e 1200 kilometr\u016f, ne\u00faprosn\u011b pokra\u010duj\u00ed, tlak na vl\u00e1du prezidenta Volodymyra Zelensk\u00e9ho se stup\u0148uje. Ve Washingtonu prezident Donald Trump vyz\u00fdv\u00e1 k rychl\u00e9 akci. Americk\u00fd \u010dasopis\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>Foreign Affairs<\/span><\/em>\u00a0mezit\u00edm \u00a0jednozna\u010dn\u011b hodnot\u00ed: Ukrajina\u00a0<\/span>v\u00e1lku prohr\u00e1v\u00e1<\/span><\/a>\u00a0,\u201c informuje\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>Berliner Zeitung.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Michael C. Desch, profesor mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edch vztah\u016f ve Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1tech, kter\u00fd uv\u00e1d\u00ed, \u017ee \u201erealita boji\u0161t\u011b\u201c nen\u00ed na stran\u011b Ukrajiny, p\u0159edpov\u00edd\u00e1 Zelensk\u00e9ho p\u00e1d a v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed Ruska. Podle experta tato v\u00e1lkou zni\u010den\u00e1 zem\u011b klade \u201estate\u010dn\u00fd odpor\u201c, ale jej\u00ed odhodl\u00e1n\u00ed \u201enem\u016f\u017ee zakr\u00fdt fakt, \u017ee v\u00e1lku prohr\u00e1v\u00e1\u201c. Rusko nyn\u00ed ovl\u00e1d\u00e1 t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 p\u011btinu ukrajinsk\u00e9ho \u00fazem\u00ed v hranic\u00edch z roku 1991 a d\u00edky sv\u00fdm \u201ev\u011bt\u0161\u00edm zdroj\u016fm a populaci\u201c m\u00e1 schopnost \u201epokra\u010dovat v boji je\u0161t\u011b roky\u201c. \u201eRusko se svou mnohem v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed populac\u00ed nakonec snese v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed celkov\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty ne\u017e Ukrajina,\u201c uzav\u00edr\u00e1 Desch.<\/span><\/p>\n

Berliner\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>Zeitung\u00a0 s odvol\u00e1n\u00edm na\u00a0<\/span><\/em>International Affairs<\/span><\/em>\u00a0uv\u00e1d\u00ed\u00a0\u00a0: \u201eZat\u00edmco Kreml se spol\u00e9h\u00e1 p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm na smluvn\u00ed voj\u00e1ky, politi\u010dt\u00ed v\u016fdci pod\u00e9l \u0159eky Dn\u011bpr jsou st\u00e1le v\u00edce z\u00e1visl\u00ed na mobilizaci. Zpr\u00e1vy o n\u00e1siln\u00fdch zat\u00fdk\u00e1n\u00edch bojeschopn\u00fdch mu\u017e\u016f v ulic\u00edch podtrhuj\u00ed probl\u00e9my s n\u00e1borem,\u201c uv\u00e1d\u00ed americk\u00fd den\u00edk. Desch se tak\u00e9 zab\u00fdv\u00e1 ot\u00e1zkou \u201e\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>biznisu<\/span><\/em>\u00a0\u201c, brut\u00e1ln\u00edch zat\u00fdk\u00e1n\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00fdch mu\u017e\u016f v ulic\u00edch vojensk\u00fdmi \u00fa\u0159ady zem\u011b. \u201eTyto metody jsou nepopul\u00e1rn\u00ed a vedou k tomu, \u017ee na frontu jsou pos\u00edl\u00e1ni star\u0161\u00ed, m\u00e9n\u011b zdrav\u00ed a zjevn\u011b neochotn\u00ed voj\u00e1ci.\u201c \u201eNed\u00e1vn\u00fd nedostatek rekrut\u016f a dezerce vedly ke st\u00e1le drasti\u010dt\u011bj\u0161\u00edm opat\u0159en\u00edm,\u201c poznamen\u00e1v\u00e1 Desch. \u201eMnoho Ukrajinc\u016f dezertuje p\u0159i prvn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitosti,\u201c pokra\u010duje n\u011bmeck\u00fd den\u00edk.<\/span><\/p>\n

Americk\u00fd expert varuje, \u017ee Ukrajina \u010del\u00ed tak\u00e9 obt\u00ed\u017en\u00e9 situaci, pokud jde o t\u011b\u017ekou techniku, jeliko\u017e Rusko disponuje mnohem v\u011bt\u0161\u00edm po\u010dtem tank\u016f, d\u011blost\u0159eleck\u00fdch syst\u00e9m\u016f a st\u00edha\u010dek. \u201ePokud jde o t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 zbra\u0148ov\u00e9 syst\u00e9my, Ukrajina je ve v\u0161ech ohledech hor\u0161\u00ed,\u201c uv\u00e1d\u00ed Desch.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eNa ekonomick\u00e9 front\u011b je asymetrie je\u0161t\u011b v\u00fdrazn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed. Rusk\u00e1 ekonomika, m\u011b\u0159eno kupn\u00ed silou, je mnohem v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e ukrajinsk\u00e1. P\u0159esto\u017ee Kyjev v\u011bnuje na obranu asi 30 % sv\u00e9ho hrub\u00e9ho dom\u00e1c\u00edho produktu, z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 struktur\u00e1ln\u011b z\u00e1visl\u00fd na z\u00e1padn\u00ed pomoci,\u201c pokra\u010duje berl\u00ednsk\u00fd medi\u00e1ln\u00ed server, jeho\u017e redakce se nach\u00e1zej\u00ed hned vedle Alexanderplatz v Berl\u00edn\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00a0\u201eRusko sice nemus\u00ed m\u00edt v\u0161echny karty v rukou, ale disponuje zna\u010dn\u00fdmi ozbrojen\u00fdmi silami a v\u00fdznamn\u00fdmi finan\u010dn\u00edmi zdroji,\u201c uvedl americk\u00fd expert. \u201ePutin se nav\u00edc m\u016f\u017ee v\u00edce spolehnout na sv\u00e9 spojence, zejm\u00e9na na \u010c\u00ednu a Severn\u00ed Koreu, ne\u017e Zelenskyj na sv\u00e9 evropsk\u00e9 spojence,\u201c pokra\u010doval Berliner Zeitung, kter\u00fd poznamenal: \u201eTrump chce rychl\u00e9 ukon\u010den\u00ed konfliktu na Ukrajin\u011b.\u201c Podle zdroje Axios\u00a0<\/span>by<\/span><\/em>\u00a0Zelenskyj\u00a0<\/span>preferoval<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u00a0\u0159e\u0161en\u00ed do m\u011bs\u00edce. \u00dadajn\u011b v\u0161ak vyj\u00e1d\u0159il nad\u011bji, \u017ee by konflikt mohl skon\u010dit n\u011bkdy letos.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Ministerstvo zahrani\u010d\u00ed\u00a0<\/span><\/em>\u00a0uzn\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee Moskva se nyn\u00ed stala zna\u010dnou jedni\u010dkou ve velk\u00e9m v\u00fdvoji technologie dron\u016f. Rusko se st\u00e1le v\u00edce spol\u00e9h\u00e1 na mal\u00e9, mobiln\u00ed \u00fato\u010dn\u00e9 jednotky a masovou v\u00fdrobu dron\u016f na frontov\u00e9 linii.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eZelenskij \u010del\u00ed dilematu,\u201c dod\u00e1v\u00e1\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>Berliner Zeitung<\/span><\/em>\u00a0: \u201eOfici\u00e1ln\u011b z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 c\u00edlem obnoven\u00ed hranic z roku 1991, v\u010detn\u011b Krymu.\u201c Desch v\u0161ak tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee tyto c\u00edle jsou \u201enere\u00e1ln\u00e9\u201c. Vzhledem k nedostatku lidsk\u00fdch zdroj\u016f a z\u00e1loh na Ukrajin\u011b je podle americk\u00e9ho experta \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00e9 znovudobyt\u00ed sotva mysliteln\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n

N\u011bmeck\u00fd den\u00edk, kter\u00fd se stal p\u0159edn\u00edm zdrojem zpr\u00e1v a jeho\u017e redakce se st\u00e1le nach\u00e1zej\u00ed ve stejn\u00e9 budov\u011b z dob N\u011bmeck\u00e9 demokratick\u00e9 republiky (NDR) a jeho\u017e majitelem je b\u00fdval\u00fd ob\u010dan onoho N\u011bmecka, kter\u00e9 po znovusjednocen\u00ed p\u0159estalo existovat, souhlas\u00ed s Deschem, kter\u00fd se pt\u00e1: \u201eCo by zm\u011bnil dal\u0161\u00ed rok v\u00e1lky a za jakou cenu?\u201c \u201e\u0160patn\u00e1 m\u00edrov\u00e1 dohoda,\u201c argumentuje Desch, \u201eby nutn\u011b neznamenala konec Ukrajiny jako nez\u00e1visl\u00e9ho st\u00e1tu.\u201c Podle americk\u00e9ho experta by men\u0161\u00ed, ale stabilizovan\u00e1 zem\u011b mohla reformovat svou ekonomiku, bojovat proti korupci a obnovit svou obranu.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>Berliner Zeitung<\/span><\/em>\u00a0\u00a0varuje: \u201eI kdyby politi\u010dt\u00ed akt\u00e9\u0159i v Kyjev\u011b vn\u00edmali takov\u00fd sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 jako kapitulaci,\u201c uzav\u00edr\u00e1 Desch: \u201eOdm\u00edtnut\u00ed takov\u00e9 dohody by nyn\u00ed jen prodlou\u017eilo n\u00e1kladnou a k z\u00e1niku odsouzenou v\u00e1lku.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n

Pierre Duval<\/span><\/em>\u00a0<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Foreign\u00a0\u00a0Affairs\u00a0, p\u0159edn\u00ed americk\u00fd dvoum\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u00edk s mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edm vlivem, vyd\u00e1van\u00fd Radou pro zahrani\u010dn\u00ed vztahy (Council on Foreign…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":100940,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1503,2662,22,26],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/100939"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=100939"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/100939\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/100940"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=100939"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=100939"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=100939"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}