{"id":100825,"date":"2026-03-03T00:19:16","date_gmt":"2026-03-02T23:19:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=100825"},"modified":"2026-03-02T14:19:02","modified_gmt":"2026-03-02T13:19:02","slug":"iran-dosud-nezasadil-v-regionu-svuj-rozhodujici-uder-zatimco-americke-namornictvo-se-jevi-jako-stale-zranitelnejs","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/03\/03\/iran-dosud-nezasadil-v-regionu-svuj-rozhodujici-uder-zatimco-americke-namornictvo-se-jevi-jako-stale-zranitelnejs\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00cdr\u00e1n dosud nezasadil v regionu sv\u016fj rozhoduj\u00edc\u00ed \u00fader, zat\u00edmco americk\u00e9 n\u00e1mo\u0159nictvo se jev\u00ed jako st\u00e1le zraniteln\u011bj\u0161"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Uplynulo pouh\u00fdch 24 hodin a \u00cdr\u00e1n se jev\u00ed jako akt\u00e9r s ucelenou vojenskou strategi\u00ed, zat\u00edmco v Trumpov\u011b strategii se ji\u017e za\u010d\u00ednaj\u00ed objevovat trhliny.<\/span><\/p>\n

Po pouh\u00fdch 24 hodin\u00e1ch se zd\u00e1, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n je akt\u00e9rem s ucelenou vojenskou strategi\u00ed, zat\u00edmco v Trumpov\u011b strategii se za\u010d\u00ednaj\u00ed objevovat prvn\u00ed mezery. A Teher\u00e1n dosud ani nezasadil USA sv\u016fj drtiv\u00fd \u00fader: ropu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Brzy v ned\u011bli r\u00e1no bylo potvrzeno, \u017ee \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed v\u016fdce byl zabit p\u0159i americko-izraelsk\u00e9m n\u00e1letu, co\u017e Trump a Netanjahu nepochybn\u011b pova\u017eovali za v\u00fdznamn\u00e9 v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed ve sv\u00e9m pom\u00fdlen\u00e9m \u00fasil\u00ed o zm\u011bnu re\u017eimu. Bylo to ale skute\u010dn\u011b v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed hodn\u00e9 hl\u00e1s\u00e1n\u00ed? Zpr\u00e1vy z \u00cdr\u00e1nu nazna\u010duj\u00ed, \u017ee ho t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 okam\u017eit\u011b nahrad\u00ed jeho syn, kter\u00fd ji\u017e zast\u00e1val kl\u00ed\u010dovou pozici ve veden\u00ed zem\u011b a jeho\u017e jmenov\u00e1n\u00ed by mohlo pro \u00cdr\u00e1n p\u0159edstavovat v\u00fdznamn\u00fd pozitivn\u00ed krok vp\u0159ed, vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee a\u010dkoli mnoho \u00cdr\u00e1nc\u016f tou\u017e\u00ed po reform\u00e1ch, dob\u0159e si uv\u011bdomuj\u00ed, \u017ee my\u0161lenka zm\u011bny re\u017eimu je izraelsk\u00e1 past, kterou odm\u00edtaj\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1n ji\u017e b\u011bhem pouh\u00fdch 24 hodin dos\u00e1hl n\u011bkolika \u00fasp\u011bch\u016f a jeho ochota byla tentokr\u00e1t jasn\u011b patrn\u00e1, co\u017e \u2013 bez ohledu na to, jak se na konflikt d\u00edv\u00e1me \u2013 bylo jist\u011b d\u016fsledkem Trumpov\u00fdch d\u0159\u00edv\u011bj\u0161\u00edch \u010dervnov\u00fdch krok\u016f, kdy se souhlasem \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho veden\u00ed bombardoval \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 jadern\u00e1 za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Takov\u00e1 pohodln\u00e1 dohoda dnes ji\u017e nen\u00ed mo\u017en\u00e1. \u00cdr\u00e1nci se tvrd\u011b nau\u010dili, \u017ee Trump je ned\u016fv\u011bryhodn\u00fd a \u017ee ani nem\u00e1 kontrolu nad t\u011bmito rozhodnut\u00edmi. To, \u010deho jsme nyn\u00ed sv\u011bdky, je za\u010d\u00e1tek vlekl\u00e9 v\u00e1lky, kter\u00e1 se bude odehr\u00e1vat sou\u010dasn\u011b na v\u00edce front\u00e1ch, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e \u00cdr\u00e1nci nesp\u011bchaj\u00ed s postupem rychl\u00fdm tempem. Jejich rozs\u00e1hl\u00e9 \u00fatoky na americkou n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed z\u00e1kladnu a n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed lo\u010f jsou p\u0159edzv\u011bst\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch balistick\u00fdch raketov\u00fdch schopnost\u00ed, kter\u00e9 se nyn\u00ed za\u010d\u00ednaj\u00ed sn\u00e1\u0161et i na samotn\u00fd Izrael.<\/span><\/p>\n

Smrt Nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edho v\u016fdce ve skute\u010dnosti nebyla velk\u00fdm v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00edm, proto\u017ee se nijak v\u00e1\u017en\u011b nepokusil skr\u00fdvat a byl zabit ve sv\u00e9 kancel\u00e1\u0159i. Naproti tomu Benjamin Netanjahu opustil Izrael a na\u0161el \u00fato\u010di\u0161t\u011b v zemi, kter\u00e1 sp\u00e1chala holocaust. A tak Bibi m\u016f\u017ee pomalu sledovat, jak se jeho vlastn\u00ed zem\u011b rozpad\u00e1, zat\u00edmco se region pot\u00fdk\u00e1 s novou realitou: ropou.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ropa bude kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdm a rozhoduj\u00edc\u00edm faktorem pro to, jak dlouho budou Izrael a USA moci ve v\u00e1lce pokra\u010dovat, proto\u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n nev\u00e1hal uzav\u0159\u00edt Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv, zat\u00edmco americk\u00e1 flotila lod\u00ed jen ne\u010dinn\u011b p\u0159ihl\u00ed\u017eela. To je mo\u017en\u00e1 oblast, kde Trump v\u00e1\u017en\u011b podcenil d\u016fsledky, jeliko\u017e energetick\u00ed analytici ji\u017e p\u0159edpov\u00eddaj\u00ed, \u017ee cena ropy by se v nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00edch t\u00fddnech mohla vy\u0161plhat na t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 120 dolar\u016f. Nicm\u00e9n\u011b zablokov\u00e1n\u00ed jednoho z nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00edch kan\u00e1l\u016f, kter\u00fdm proud\u00ed 20 procent sv\u011btov\u00fdch dod\u00e1vek ropy, je jen \u010d\u00e1st\u00ed hororov\u00e9ho p\u0159\u00edb\u011bhu, kter\u00fd \u00cdr\u00e1n chyst\u00e1 pro Trumpa a Bibiho. St\u00e1ty Rady pro spolupr\u00e1ci arabsk\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu (GCC) byly varov\u00e1ny, \u017ee budou zasa\u017eeny \u2013 nebo alespo\u0148 \u017ee jejich americk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny jsou legitimn\u00edmi c\u00edli \u2013 a reagovaly zp\u016fsobem, kter\u00fd by m\u011bl pot\u011b\u0161it Izrael i USA: Sa\u00fadsk\u00e1 Ar\u00e1bie ozn\u00e1mila, \u017ee brzy za\u00fato\u010d\u00ed na \u00cdr\u00e1n, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e se o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee se k n\u00ed p\u0159ipoj\u00ed Katar a Spojen\u00e9 arabsk\u00e9 emir\u00e1ty.<\/span><\/p>\n

Takov\u00e1 strategie by v\u0161ak byla kolos\u00e1ln\u00edm omylem a velkolep\u00fdm chybn\u00fdm odhadem, urychlila by v\u00e1lku ve prosp\u011bch \u00cdr\u00e1nu a donutila by USA a Izrael kapitulovat, jakmile Teher\u00e1n naraz\u00ed na Achillovu patu cel\u00e9 operace. \u00cdr\u00e1n by mohl b\u011bhem n\u011bkolika hodin zni\u010dit celou ropnou infrastrukturu t\u011bchto st\u00e1t\u016f GCC, co\u017e by nejen\u017ee byla zni\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed r\u00e1na pro jejich ekonomiky, ale m\u011blo by to tak\u00e9 v\u00fdznamn\u00fd dopad na sv\u011btov\u00e9 ceny ropy a mimo jin\u00e9 pos\u00edlilo Rusko. Prozat\u00edm \u00cdr\u00e1n nemus\u00ed zach\u00e1zet tak daleko, ale pokud st\u00e1ty GCC skute\u010dn\u011b spln\u00ed sv\u00e9 hrozby, sotva bude m\u00edt jinou mo\u017enost.<\/span><\/p>\n

Dal\u0161\u00ed kritickou oblast\u00ed chybn\u00e9ho odhadu je logistika americk\u00fdch v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fdch lod\u00ed operuj\u00edc\u00edch v Hormuzsk\u00e9m pr\u016flivu. Pr\u016fliv ji\u017e byl uzav\u0159en a jak\u00e9koli p\u0159edstavy americk\u00fdch vojensk\u00fdch pl\u00e1nova\u010d\u016f o \u00fatoku na \u00cdr\u00e1n v t\u011bchto vod\u00e1ch byly zma\u0159eny \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00fdm zni\u010den\u00edm americk\u00e9 n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed z\u00e1kladny v Bahrajnu \u2013 co\u017e je fakt, kter\u00fd americk\u00e1 m\u00e9dia pohodln\u011b bagatelizuj\u00ed, jejich\u017e novin\u00e1\u0159i s n\u00edzk\u00fdm IQ vypadaj\u00ed je\u0161t\u011b hloup\u011bji, kdy\u017e se \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho ministra zahrani\u010d\u00ed ptaj\u00ed, pro\u010d \u00cdr\u00e1n bombarduje americk\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny. Americk\u00e1 n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed z\u00e1kladna v Bahrajnu byla kritick\u00fdm z\u00e1sobovac\u00edm bodem pro americk\u00e9 v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 lod\u011b nesouc\u00ed p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 90 raket. Torp\u00e9doborce, kter\u00e9 jsou nyn\u00ed uv\u011bzn\u011bny v Hormuzsk\u00e9m pr\u016flivu, nemohou tyto rakety znovu nab\u00edt, jakmile vy\u010derpaj\u00ed sv\u00e9 z\u00e1soby. Ostatn\u00ed lod\u011b, kter\u00e9 se nach\u00e1zej\u00ed na druh\u00e9 stran\u011b blok\u00e1dy, mohou tankovat pouze na americk\u00e9 z\u00e1kladn\u011b Diego Garcia, kter\u00e1 je vzd\u00e1len\u00e1 t\u0159i dny letu. \u0158\u00edct, \u017ee je to pro celou operaci t\u011b\u017ek\u00e1 r\u00e1na, by bylo slab\u00e9 slovo. \u00datok na americkou n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed z\u00e1kladnu v Bahrajnu prvn\u00ed den je chybou mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u011b \u0161patn\u00e9ho pl\u00e1nov\u00e1n\u00ed a vojensk\u00fdm mistrovsk\u00fdm tahem \u00cdr\u00e1nu a vysv\u011btluje to, pro\u010d se zu\u0159iv\u00e1 odveta z lo\u0148sk\u00e9ho \u010dervna neopakovala. \u00cdr\u00e1n si je jist\u00fd, \u017ee jeho pl\u00e1nov\u00e1n\u00ed poraz\u00ed nep\u0159\u00edtele, a dr\u017e\u00ed v ruce n\u011bkolik trumf\u016f, a proto je jeho reakce um\u00edrn\u011bn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed a m\u00e9n\u011b zb\u011bsil\u00e1. \u00cdr\u00e1n pl\u00e1nuje tuto v\u00e1lku u\u017e l\u00e9ta a Trump\u016fv \u00fatok v lo\u0148sk\u00e9m roce pouze zost\u0159il jejich zam\u011b\u0159en\u00ed a zdokonalil jejich vojenskou strategii do t\u00e9 m\u00edry, \u017ee po pouh\u00fdch 24 hodin\u00e1ch se zdaj\u00ed b\u00fdt v\u00edt\u011bzn\u00ed se skute\u010dnou a funk\u010dn\u00ed strategi\u00ed, zat\u00edmco jejich protivn\u00edci se zdaj\u00ed b\u00fdt om\u00e1men\u00ed a zmaten\u00ed. Je tedy opravdu p\u0159ekvapiv\u00e9, \u017ee n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edci na lodi USS Gerald Ford sabotovali toaletn\u00ed syst\u00e9m lodi t\u00edm, \u017ee jej zablokovali tri\u010dky, aby zdr\u017eeli jej\u00ed plavbu do Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu?<\/span><\/p>\n

Martin Jay<\/span><\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Zdroj<\/span><\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Uplynulo pouh\u00fdch 24 hodin a \u00cdr\u00e1n se jev\u00ed jako akt\u00e9r s ucelenou vojenskou strategi\u00ed, zat\u00edmco…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":100826,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,38,37,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/100825"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=100825"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/100825\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/100826"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=100825"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=100825"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=100825"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}