{"id":10063,"date":"2022-04-29T06:03:04","date_gmt":"2022-04-29T04:03:04","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=10063"},"modified":"2022-04-29T06:03:04","modified_gmt":"2022-04-29T04:03:04","slug":"nekompetentni-reakce-ceske-vlady-na-pozadavek-ruska-platit-v-rublech","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2022\/04\/29\/nekompetentni-reakce-ceske-vlady-na-pozadavek-ruska-platit-v-rublech\/","title":{"rendered":"Nekompetentn\u00ed reakce \u010desk\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy na po\u017eadavek Ruska platit v rublech"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n
Kdy\u017e se pod\u00edv\u00e1m na str\u00e1nky Bloomberg.com, vid\u00edm, \u017ee cena plynu je moment\u00e1ln\u011b nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed, jak\u00e9 bylo za posledn\u00edch t\u0159in\u00e1ct let dosa\u017eeno. Pokud se p\u0159ed dv\u011bma lety touto dobou pohybovala na \u00farovni kolem 2 dolar\u016f za jednotku, nyn\u00ed je to 7,14 dolar\u016f za jednotku (nyn\u00ed, 28. 4. ve 14:30). Nepamatuji se, \u017ee by v dob\u011b studen\u00e9 v\u00e1lky kdy byl rusk\u00fd plyn \u010di rusk\u00e1 ropa odpojen od p\u0159\u00edjemc\u016f v z\u00e1padn\u00ed Evrop\u011b. Tak\u00e9 do t\u00e9to doby, tedy v pr\u016fb\u011bhu dvou m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f rusko-ukrajinsk\u00e9 v\u00e1lky, v n\u00ed\u017e Z\u00e1pad zvy\u0161uje sv\u00e9 anga\u017em\u00e1 dod\u00e1vkami zbran\u00ed ad., nebyl v dod\u00e1vk\u00e1ch ropy a zemn\u00edho plynu zem\u00edm Z\u00e1padu \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd probl\u00e9m.<\/strong><\/div>\n
\n

Rusko 1. b\u0159ezna sd\u011blilo \u00fasty prezidenta Putina, \u017ee bude nad\u00e1le dod\u00e1vat tyto strategick\u00e9 suroviny (plyn a ropu) jen t\u011bm nep\u0159\u00e1telsky se chovaj\u00edc\u00edm zem\u00edm, kter\u00e9 mu budou platit za dod\u00e1vky p\u0159es platby do Gazprombank v\u00a0rublech.<\/p>\n

Evrop\u0161t\u00ed v\u016fdci okam\u017eit\u011b za\u010dali hovo\u0159it o tom, \u017ee se Moskva dopou\u0161t\u00ed poru\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed smluv, kter\u00e9 nep\u0159edpokl\u00e1daly platby za plyn a ropu v\u00a0rublech.<\/p>\n

Jak spr\u00e1vn\u011b v\u010dera poznamenal jeden m\u016fj kolega z\u00a0redakce Va\u0161e v\u011bc v\u00a0jednom ze sv\u00fdch \u010dl\u00e1nk\u016f, \u201eve v\u00e1lce l\u00e9taj\u00ed kulky ob\u011bma sm\u011bry\u201c.<\/p>\n

Tak\u00e9 sankce ze strany Z\u00e1padu a USA jsou samoz\u0159ejm\u011b v\u00a0mnoha sm\u011brech poru\u0161en\u00edm nejr\u016fzn\u011bj\u0161\u00edch smluvn\u00edch ujedn\u00e1n\u00ed a je ot\u00e1zka, zda nejsou v\u00a0rozporu s\u00a0mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edm pr\u00e1vem.<\/p>\n

S\u00a0mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edm pr\u00e1vem je pochopiteln\u011b v\u00a0rozporu tak\u00e9 agrese Ruska v\u016f\u010di Ukrajin\u011b. Reakce \u010desk\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy na cel\u00fd probl\u00e9m by m\u011bla b\u00fdt k\u0159i\u0161\u0165\u00e1lov\u011b jasn\u00e1 a z\u00e1rove\u0148 racion\u00e1ln\u00ed a um\u00edrn\u011bn\u00e1. Um\u00edrn\u011bn\u00e1 proto, \u017ee se bez rusk\u00e9ho plynu a z\u0159ejm\u011b ani bez rusk\u00e9 ropy (pokud v\u0161ichni nep\u0159esedneme na kola) se nebudeme moci je\u0161t\u011b dlouh\u00e1 l\u00e9ta obej\u00edt. Krom\u011b toho, p\u0159i nejr\u016fzn\u011bj\u0161\u00edch diskus\u00edch o z\u00e1vadnosti rusk\u00e9ho plynu jsem se st\u00e1l\u00e9 nedozv\u011bd\u011bl, kolik \u017ee vlastn\u011b bude st\u00e1t ten vz\u00fdvan\u00fd LNG (zkapaln\u011bn\u00e1 plyn z\u00a0USA, z\u00a0Kataru, z\u00a0Austr\u00e1lie a p\u0159\u00edp. z\u00a0dal\u0161\u00edch zem\u00ed). Bude to dvaap\u016flkr\u00e1t dra\u017e\u0161\u00ed, t\u0159ikr\u00e1t dra\u017e\u0161\u00ed ne\u017eli je obvykl\u00e1 cena plynu z\u00a0Ruska anebo t\u0159eba \u0161estkr\u00e1t dra\u017e\u0161\u00ed, pokud tyto zem\u011b z\u00edskaj\u00ed na dod\u00e1vky zkapaln\u011bn\u00e9ho plynu do z\u00e1padn\u00ed a st\u0159edn\u00ed Evropy monopol.<\/p>\n

Zkr\u00e1tka, \u010desk\u00e9 obyvatelstvo, kter\u00e9 te\u010f za\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 \u0161ok z\u00a0avizovan\u00e9ho nav\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed cen plynu (a v\u00a0kr\u00e1tku i elektrick\u00e9 energie a tepla) by m\u011blo zn\u00e1t nep\u0159\u00edjemnou pravdu. O kolik zaplat\u00ed za plyn v\u00edc, ne\u017eli jsme platili dosud? Budou to ceny je\u0161t\u011b vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed, ne\u017e je sou\u010dasn\u00e1 \u00farove\u0148 cen, kter\u00e1 t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 nem\u00e1 v\u00a0minulosti obdoby? Nebo to bude je\u0161t\u011b v\u00edce?<\/p>\n

Jako typick\u00fd a trochu furiantsk\u00fd, pro postoj vl\u00e1dy charakteristick\u00fd, vid\u00edm vyj\u00e1d\u0159en\u00ed ministra pr\u00e1ce (d\u0159\u00edve t\u00e9\u017e dr\u017eitele ministerstva zem\u011bd\u011blstv\u00ed), \u0161\u00e9fa lidovc\u016f, Jure\u010dky, na Twitteru. Tam hovo\u0159\u00ed o tom, \u017ee: \u201eLep\u0161\u00ed kravsk\u00e9 lejno (pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1m jemn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed v\u00fdraz pro exkrement ne\u017e Jure\u010dka), ne\u017e plyn od Putina\u2026\u201c. Jure\u010dka alternativn\u00ed cestu vid\u00ed v\u00a0potenci\u00e1lu biomethanu, v\u00a0renovaci budov a z\u0159ejm\u011b v\u00a0jejich zateplen\u00ed, v rozvoji obnoviteln\u00fdch zdroj\u016f, co\u017e podle n\u011bj m\u016f\u017ee pokr\u00fdt polovinu sou\u010dasn\u00e9 spot\u0159eby plynu.<\/p>\n

Siln\u011b pochybuji o t\u011bchto \u010darod\u011bjn\u00fdch po\u010dtech ministra Jure\u010dky. Ale i kdyby byl Jure\u010dka \u010darod\u011bj a skute\u010dn\u011b takov\u00fd potenci\u00e1l bychom v\u00a0t\u011bch zakopan\u00fdch h\u0159ivn\u00e1ch zlata v\u00a0na\u0161\u00ed zemi na\u0161li, t\u011b\u017eko bychom mohli nahradit p\u0159\u00edpadn\u00e9 v\u00fdpadky dod\u00e1vek rusk\u00e9ho plynu ze dne na den, prakticky okam\u017eit\u011b.<\/p>\n

Je to prost\u011b neodpov\u011bdn\u00e9 bl\u00e1bolen\u00ed. Je\u0161t\u011b k\u00a0tomu chyb\u00ed p\u0159ipojit mo\u017enosti vyu\u017eit\u00ed vod\u00edku (t.\u010d. ve f\u00e1zi laboratorn\u00edho v\u00fdzkumu) a jadern\u00e9 energetiky. Bohu\u017eel jadern\u00e1 energetika m\u00e1 tu nep\u0159\u00edjemnou vlastnost, \u017ee od doby rozhodnut\u00ed o postaven\u00ed jadern\u00e9ho bloku do doby jeho zprovozn\u011bn\u00ed, uplyne obvykle n\u011bjak\u00fdch 17 \u2013 20 let. Tak\u017ee tato cesta tak\u00e9 nen\u00ed zrovna perspektivn\u00ed. Krom\u011b toho, upozor\u0148uji na anal\u00fdzy \u0159ady ekonom\u016f, kter\u00e9 ukazuj\u00ed, \u017ee Rusko ani ty zdrcuj\u00edc\u00ed sankce, kter\u00e9 byly ze strany Z\u00e1padu proti n\u011bmu vyu\u017eity, z\u0159ejm\u011b ekonomicky na kolena nesraz\u00ed. I kdy\u017e se nap\u0159. poda\u0159\u00ed sn\u00ed\u017eit spot\u0159ebu rusk\u00e9ho plynu v\u00a0EU zhruba o dv\u011b t\u0159etiny, rusk\u00e1 obchodn\u00ed bilance bude v\u00fdsledkov\u011b zhruba na stejn\u00e9 \u00farovni, jako byla v\u00a0lo\u0148sk\u00e9m, p\u0159\u00edjmov\u011b rekordn\u00edm roce, kdy\u017e rusk\u00fd export kulminoval.<\/p>\n

Mysl\u00edm ale, \u017ee rusk\u00fd prezident chyst\u00e1 Z\u00e1padu je\u0161t\u011b dal\u0161\u00ed p\u0159ekvapen\u00ed. Tedy, \u017ee nez\u016fstane jen u plateb v\u00a0rublech za plyn a ropu.<\/p>\n

Mnoho zem\u00ed sv\u011bta, kter\u00e9 nejsou sob\u011bsta\u010dn\u00e9, pokud jde o p\u011bstov\u00e1n\u00ed p\u0161enice a dal\u0161\u00edch zem\u011bd\u011blsk\u00fdch plodin, bude v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed m\u011brou z\u00e1visl\u00fdch na rusk\u00e9m exportu zejm\u00e9na p\u0161enice. V\u016f\u010di tzv. nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fdm st\u00e1t\u016fm Rusko jist\u011b uplatn\u00ed po\u017eadavek platby v\u00a0rublech za dodanou p\u0161enici. Pak, anebo je\u0161t\u011b p\u0159ed p\u0161enic\u00ed, bude n\u00e1sledovat po\u017eadavek plateb v\u00a0rublech za dod\u00e1vky palladia, niklu, p\u0159\u00edpadn\u011b dal\u0161\u00edch vz\u00e1cn\u00fdch \u010di pr\u016fmyslov\u00fdch kov\u016f.<\/p>\n

To je p\u0159\u00edm\u00fd \u00fatok na m\u011bnovou dominanci dolaru, kter\u00fd je dosud sv\u011btovou rezervn\u00ed m\u011bnou. Pokud se arabsk\u00e9 st\u00e1ty z\u00a0Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu dohodnou s\u00a0\u010c\u00ed\u0148any na platb\u00e1ch za ropu a plyn v\u00a0\u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdch j\u00fcanech, bude to dal\u0161\u00ed prolomen\u00ed do sv\u011btov\u00e9ho monopolu dolaru coby rezervn\u00ed m\u011bny.<\/p>\n

Tak, jak reagoval Jure\u010dka, to je mustr i pro ostatn\u00ed \u010dleny \u010desk\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy, kte\u0159\u00ed budou celou v\u011bc bagatelizovat, povedou hrdinn\u00e9 proslovy o v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fdch zlo\u010dinc\u00edch a nakonec bu\u010f st\u00e1hnou oc\u00e1sky a platbu v\u00a0rublech akceptuj\u00ed anebo dojde k\u00a0p\u0159eru\u0161en\u00ed dod\u00e1vek. Vzhledem k\u00a0tomu, \u017ee k\u00a0n\u00e1m chod\u00ed plyn plynovodem z\u00a0N\u011bmecka, bezprost\u0159edn\u00ed ohro\u017een\u00ed \u010ceska z\u0159ejm\u011b nehroz\u00ed…<\/p>\n

V\u00a0ka\u017ed\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b v\u0161ak v\u00a0cen\u00e1ch plynu na sv\u011btov\u00fdch trz\u00edch vznik\u00e1 prostor k tomu, abychom za\u010dali re\u00e1ln\u011b uva\u017eovat. Re\u00e1ln\u011b uva\u017eovat o podpo\u0159e urychlit \u00fasil\u00ed o uzav\u0159en\u00ed udr\u017eiteln\u00e9ho m\u00edru mezi Ruskem a Ukrajinou. To by vedlo ke zm\u00edrn\u011bn\u00ed nap\u011bt\u00ed a tenz\u00ed tak\u00e9 na mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edch komoditn\u00edch trz\u00edch a pomohlo by to srazit cenu zemn\u00edho plynu z\u00a0dne\u0161n\u00ed ne\u00fanosn\u00e9 v\u00fd\u0161e k norm\u00e1lu.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Ji\u0159\u00ed Paroubek<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Kdy\u017e se pod\u00edv\u00e1m na str\u00e1nky Bloomberg.com, vid\u00edm, \u017ee cena plynu je moment\u00e1ln\u011b nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed, jak\u00e9 bylo…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":9668,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[29,1008,310,2117,99],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10063"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=10063"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10063\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/9668"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=10063"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=10063"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=10063"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}