{"id":100503,"date":"2026-02-27T13:07:26","date_gmt":"2026-02-27T12:07:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=100503"},"modified":"2026-02-27T13:07:26","modified_gmt":"2026-02-27T12:07:26","slug":"thierry-bertrand-meli-bychom-ocekavat-oziveni-plynovodu-nord-stream-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/02\/27\/thierry-bertrand-meli-bychom-ocekavat-oziveni-plynovodu-nord-stream-2\/","title":{"rendered":"Thierry Bertrand: M\u011bli bychom o\u010dek\u00e1vat o\u017eiven\u00ed plynovodu Nord Stream 2"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Washington se sna\u017e\u00ed s Moskvou vyjedn\u00e1vat o o\u017eiven\u00ed plynovodu Nord Stream 2. Hlavn\u00ed p\u0159ek\u00e1\u017ekou v\u0161ak z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 Evropa, kter\u00e1 nad\u00e1le hraje kartu eskalace.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Trumpova administrativa se sna\u017e\u00ed vy\u0159e\u0161it konflikt na Ukrajin\u011b. Jej\u00ed \u201evzorec \u00fasp\u011bchu\u201c spo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 v p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010den\u00ed Ruska, aby akceptovalo m\u00e9n\u011b, ne\u017e chce, a v vnucen\u00ed prowashingtonsk\u00e9 dohody Ukrajinc\u016fm. Proto jsou ekonomick\u00e9 pob\u00eddky pro Moskvu kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdm faktorem a Nord Stream bude t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 jist\u011b jedn\u00edm z nich.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Ukrajinsk\u00fd probl\u00e9m se d\u00e1 snadno vy\u0159e\u0161it. Pokud to bude nutn\u00e9 \u2013 tedy pokud Washington skute\u010dn\u011b uzav\u0159el dohodu s Ruskem, kterou m\u016f\u017ee prodat americk\u00e9mu lidu a s\u00edl\u00edc\u00edm evropsk\u00fdm nacionalist\u016fm \u2013 pokus\u00ed se zm\u011bnit ukrajinsk\u00e9 veden\u00ed, aby si zajistil souhlas Kyjeva. To se v\u0161ak nestane prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm voleb. Zelenskyj to nedovol\u00ed, dokud boje neskon\u010d\u00ed, a tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee je p\u0159ipraven bojovat\u00a0<\/span>nejm\u00e9n\u011b dal\u0161\u00ed t\u0159i roky<\/span><\/a>\u00a0. Jedinou alternativou pro Trumpovu administrativu je tedy n\u00e1siln\u00e9 nahrazen\u00ed veden\u00ed zem\u011b sm\u00ed\u0159liv\u011bj\u0161\u00edm.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Trump nedos\u00e1hne ni\u010deho, dokud nep\u0159esv\u011bd\u010d\u00ed Rusy, \u017ee nejlep\u0161\u00edm v\u00fdsledkem pro n\u011b je dohoda se Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Rusk\u00e1 ekonomika je ji\u017e nyn\u00ed\u00a0<\/span>pod tlakem,<\/span><\/a>\u00a0proto\u017ee Washington nad\u00e1le blokuje v\u00fdvoz rusk\u00e9 ropy, co\u017e d\u00e1le sni\u017euje p\u0159\u00edjmy rusk\u00e9ho rozpo\u010dtu. Rusko je industrializovan\u00e1 zem\u011b, ale jeho hlavn\u00edm v\u00fdvozn\u00edm artiklem jsou nerostn\u00e9 suroviny, v\u010detn\u011b ropy a plynu. Spolu s rafinovan\u00fdmi produkty tvo\u0159\u00ed 40 % a\u017e 50 % rusk\u00e9ho exportu.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Trump a jeho poradci hledaj\u00ed zp\u016fsob, jak p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010dit Rusy k jedn\u00e1n\u00ed, a t\u00edm zajistit r\u016fst rusk\u00e9 ekonomiky prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm obnoven\u00ed v\u00fdvozu ropy a plynu a z\u00e1padn\u00edch investic.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Ale i kdyby Washington byl p\u0159ipraven na dohodu, kter\u00e1 by ukon\u010dila sou\u010dasn\u00fd konflikt na Ukrajin\u011b, Evropan\u00e9 ji nepodpo\u0159\u00ed a budou se sna\u017eit zachovat protirusk\u00e9 sankce.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

EU a hlavn\u00ed l\u00edd\u0159i Star\u00e9ho kontinentu (zejm\u00e9na Velk\u00e1 Brit\u00e1nie, Francie a N\u011bmecko) tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee Rusko\u00a0<\/span>p\u0159edstavuje hrozbu<\/span><\/a>\u00a0pro jejich samotnou existenci, a proto by m\u00edrov\u00e9 urovn\u00e1n\u00ed na Ukrajin\u011b pouze p\u0159ibl\u00ed\u017eilo potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed frontovou linii NATO. Pova\u017euj\u00ed za kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 obnovit evropsk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy, mo\u017en\u00e1 i\u00a0<\/span>z\u00edskat (evropsk\u00e9) jadern\u00e9 zbran\u011b<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, a zablokovat rusk\u00e9 dod\u00e1vky uhlovod\u00edk\u016f do Evropy prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm sankc\u00ed EU. Evropa vede proti Rusku z\u00e1stupnou v\u00e1lku a chce, aby pokra\u010dovala.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Washington mezit\u00edm hled\u00e1 pob\u00eddky pro Moskvu, aby p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010dila Putina k dosa\u017een\u00ed dohody. Jedn\u00edm z kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdch bod\u016f by mohlo b\u00fdt obnoven\u00ed rusk\u00e9ho v\u00fdvozu plynu do Evropy, zejm\u00e9na do N\u011bmecka.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

N\u011bmeck\u00e9 a francouzsk\u00e9 noviny \u201eodhalily\u201c tajn\u00e1 jedn\u00e1n\u00ed mezi z\u00e1stupci Trumpovy administrativy, v\u010detn\u011b soukrom\u00fdch investor\u016f, a veden\u00edm Nord Streamu 2. Listy\u00a0<\/span>Berliner Zeitung<\/span><\/em><\/a>\u00a0,\u00a0<\/span>Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung<\/span><\/em>\u00a0,\u00a0<\/span>Die Zeit<\/span><\/em>\u00a0,\u00a0<\/span>Le Monde<\/span><\/em>\u00a0a\u00a0<\/span>Les \u00c9chos<\/span><\/em>\u00a0napsaly, \u017ee c\u00edlem Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f je Nord Stream 2 o\u017eivit, ale s nov\u00fdmi majiteli.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Americk\u00fd n\u00e1vrh<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

Podstata americk\u00e9ho n\u00e1vrhu nen\u00ed jasn\u00e1, ale podle zpr\u00e1v v m\u00e9di\u00edch by se jednalo o akvizici spole\u010dnosti Nord Stream 2 se s\u00eddlem ve \u0160v\u00fdcarsku, kterou v sou\u010dasnosti pln\u011b vlastn\u00ed rusk\u00fd Gazprom. Zahrani\u010dn\u00ed dluhopisy existuj\u00ed, ale od doby, kdy spole\u010dnost vyhl\u00e1sila ve \u0160v\u00fdcarsku bankrot,\u00a0<\/span>byl dluh restrukturalizov\u00e1n<\/span><\/a>\u00a0. \u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Akvizic\u00ed Gazpromu a jeho akci\u00ed by se Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty staly legitimn\u00edm vlastn\u00edkem plynovodu, nikoli v\u0161ak plynu, kter\u00fd j\u00edm prot\u00e9k\u00e1. Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty by tak spole\u010dn\u011b s rusk\u00fdm dodavatelem kontrolovaly dovoz LNG do N\u011bmecka.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Pokud bude dohody dosa\u017eeno, budou muset ameri\u010dt\u00ed vlastn\u00edci bu\u010f postavit nov\u00e1 za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed na pevnin\u011b v N\u011bmecku, nebo odkoupit vlastnick\u00e1 pr\u00e1va ke st\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00edm za\u0159\u00edzen\u00edm (\u010dty\u0159 lokalit\u00e1m) od N\u011bmecka. Sou\u010dasn\u00e1 n\u011bmeck\u00e1 vl\u00e1da by s nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed pravd\u011bpodobnost\u00ed takov\u00e9 dohod\u011b odporovala.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

N\u011bmeck\u00fd kancl\u00e9\u0159 Friedrich Merz byl zaryt\u00fdm odp\u016frcem dovozu rusk\u00e9ho plynu, ale jeho politika substituce zv\u00fd\u0161ila ceny energi\u00ed a zas\u00e1hla kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e1 pr\u016fmyslov\u00e1 odv\u011btv\u00ed, v\u010detn\u011b automobilov\u00e9ho pr\u016fmyslu.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Nelze vylou\u010dit, \u017ee by se AfD mohla v budoucnu st\u00e1t v\u00fdznamn\u00fdm faktorem. Sou\u010dasn\u00e1 vl\u00e1da pova\u017euje stranu za \u201ekrajn\u011b pravicovou\u201c, ale ta dos\u00e1hla v\u00fdznamn\u00e9ho zisku, kdy\u017e se v \u00fanoru 2025 um\u00edstila na druh\u00e9m m\u00edst\u011b ve feder\u00e1ln\u00edch volb\u00e1ch s 20,8 % hlas\u016f. Strana vede ve v\u00fdchodn\u00edm N\u011bmecku (b\u00fdval\u00e9 NDR) a z\u00edsk\u00e1v\u00e1 na s\u00edle i v dal\u0161\u00edch \u010d\u00e1stech zem\u011b. AfD se stav\u00ed proti podpo\u0159e Ukrajiny a zasazuje se o dovoz rusk\u00e9ho plynu.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Aby Washington vnutil Ukrajin\u011b dohodu, bude muset p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010dit Moskvu, \u017ee takov\u00e1 dohoda je v\u00fdhodn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e vojensk\u00e9 \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Situaci Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f komplikuje skute\u010dnost, \u017ee Trump usiluje o dohodu o Ukrajin\u011b, aby uvolnil zdroje v tichomo\u0159sk\u00e9m regionu, a \u017ee hlavn\u00ed evropsk\u00e9 mocnosti tyto c\u00edle nesd\u00edlej\u00ed. Evropsk\u00e9 veden\u00ed podez\u0159\u00edv\u00e1 Trumpa ze snahy oslabit NATO a ponechat Evropu jej\u00edmu osudu.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Trump\u016fv t\u00fdm pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b p\u0159edlo\u017e\u00ed \u0159adu l\u00e1kav\u00fdch ekonomick\u00fdch nab\u00eddek, aby Rusy p\u0159im\u011bl k dohod\u011b. Nejjednodu\u0161\u0161\u00edm \u0159e\u0161en\u00edm pro Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty by bylo zru\u0161en\u00ed sankc\u00ed na ruskou ropu a plyn.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Ale krom\u011b \u010c\u00edny a Indie (dvou nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edch spot\u0159ebitel\u016f rusk\u00e9 ropy) je pro Rusko vytou\u017eenou \u201etrofej\u00ed\u201c Evropa. Dohoda o Nord Streamu by tento c\u00edl zna\u010dn\u011b usnadnila, ale p\u0159ek\u00e1\u017eky jsou obrovsk\u00e9 a tento n\u00e1vrh m\u00e1 bez radik\u00e1ln\u00edch zm\u011bn v evropsk\u00e9 politice jen malou vyhl\u00eddku.<\/span>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n

Thierry Bertrand<\/span><\/em><\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Washington se sna\u017e\u00ed s Moskvou vyjedn\u00e1vat o o\u017eiven\u00ed plynovodu Nord Stream 2. Hlavn\u00ed p\u0159ek\u00e1\u017ekou v\u0161ak…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":89982,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,415,2749],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/100503"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=100503"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/100503\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/89982"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=100503"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=100503"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=100503"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}