{"id":100384,"date":"2026-02-25T00:26:04","date_gmt":"2026-02-24T23:26:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=100384"},"modified":"2026-02-24T17:44:20","modified_gmt":"2026-02-24T16:44:20","slug":"andrew-korybko-rusko-celi-peti-geostrategickym-vyzvam-zatimco-specialni-operace-vstupuje-do-sveho-pateho-roku","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/02\/25\/andrew-korybko-rusko-celi-peti-geostrategickym-vyzvam-zatimco-specialni-operace-vstupuje-do-sveho-pateho-roku\/","title":{"rendered":"Andrew Korybko: Rusko \u010del\u00ed p\u011bti geostrategick\u00fdm v\u00fdzv\u00e1m, zat\u00edmco speci\u00e1ln\u00ed operace vstupuje do sv\u00e9ho p\u00e1t\u00e9ho roku"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Jak se to v\u017edy d\u011bl\u00e1, od Ruska se o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee si zajist\u00ed svou suverenitu, bezpe\u010dnost a t\u00edm i sv\u00e9 p\u0159e\u017eit\u00ed prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm tv\u016fr\u010d\u00ed souhry mezi politickou, vojenskou, zpravodajskou, diplomatickou, expertn\u00ed a ob\u010danskou spole\u010dnost\u00ed.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Rusk\u00e1\u00a0<\/span>speci\u00e1ln\u00ed\u00a0<\/span><\/a>operace\u00a0<\/a>proti Ukrajin\u011b podporovan\u00e9 NATO pr\u00e1v\u011b vstoupila do sv\u00e9ho p\u00e1t\u00e9ho roku. Posledn\u00ed t\u0159i v\u00fdro\u010d\u00ed jsme si p\u0159ipomn\u011bli\u00a0zde\u00a0<\/a>,\u00a0zde\u00a0<\/a>a\u00a0zde\u00a0<\/a>a v souladu s tradic\u00ed se tento \u010dl\u00e1nek zam\u011b\u0159\u00ed na to, co se ud\u00e1lo v uplynul\u00e9m roce, a na p\u0159edpov\u011b\u010f toho, co by mohlo p\u0159ij\u00edt v tom p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edm. Obecn\u011b \u0159e\u010deno, Rusko nyn\u00ed \u010del\u00ed p\u011bti geostrategick\u00fdm v\u00fdzv\u00e1m, kter\u00e9 by m\u011bly formovat jeho p\u0159\u00edstup k\u00a0m\u00edrov\u00fdm rozhovor\u016fm s Ukrajinou zprost\u0159edkovan\u00fdm USA\u00a0<\/a>a jeho celkovou strategii, a to:<\/span><\/p>\n

———-<\/span><\/p>\n

Vliv NATO se chyst\u00e1 roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159it po cel\u00e9 ji\u017en\u00ed periferii Ruska<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u201eTrumpova cesta k mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edmu m\u00edru a prosperit\u011b\u201c ( TRIPP\u00a0<\/span><\/a>)\u00a0<\/span>z lo\u0148sk\u00e9ho srpna, kter\u00e1 vede pod\u00e9l ji\u017en\u00ed\u00a0<\/span>arm\u00e9nsk\u00e9\u00a0<\/span><\/a>provincie Sjunik, m\u00e1 dvoj\u00ed funkci: vojensko-logistick\u00e9ho koridoru NATO p\u0159es\u00a0<\/span>Ji\u017en\u00ed Kavkaz\u00a0<\/span><\/a>do\u00a0<\/span>St\u0159edn\u00ed Asie\u00a0<\/span><\/a>. TRIPP, v jeho\u017e \u010dele stoj\u00ed \u010dlensk\u00fd st\u00e1t\u00a0<\/span>Turecko\u00a0<\/span><\/a>a spojeneck\u00fd\u00a0<\/span>\u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1n\u00a0<\/span><\/a>slou\u017e\u00edc\u00ed jako odrazov\u00fd m\u016fstek p\u0159es Kaspick\u00e9 mo\u0159e, hroz\u00ed\u00a0<\/span>zhor\u0161en\u00edm region\u00e1ln\u00ed bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed situace Ruska\u00a0<\/span><\/a>, pokud se tyto hrozby nepoddaj\u00ed, zejm\u00e9na pokud\u00a0<\/span>povzbud\u00ed\u00a0<\/span><\/a>Kazachst\u00e1n\u00a0<\/a>, aby \u0161el ve stop\u00e1ch Ukrajiny.<\/span><\/p>\n

* USA podporuj\u00ed obnoven\u00ed d\u00e1vno ztracen\u00e9ho statusu velmoci Polska<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u201e\u00a0<\/span>Z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed 2025 byl pro Polsko nejbohat\u0161\u00edm m\u011bs\u00edcem od konce komunismu\u00a0<\/span><\/a>\u201c z 18 d\u016fvod\u016f vyjmenovan\u00fdch v p\u0159edchoz\u00ed anal\u00fdze s hypertextov\u00fdmi odkazy, kter\u00e9 Polsku p\u0159edur\u010dily\u00a0<\/span>hr\u00e1t \u00fast\u0159edn\u00ed roli\u00a0<\/span><\/a>v americk\u00e9\u00a0<\/span>strategii n\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnosti\u00a0<\/span><\/a>pro zadr\u017een\u00ed Ruska po skon\u010den\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e9ho konfliktu. Polsko ji\u017e m\u00e1\u00a0<\/span>nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed arm\u00e1du v EU\u00a0<\/span><\/a>, nach\u00e1z\u00ed se uprost\u0159ed kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdch vojensko-logistick\u00fdch koridor\u016f a velmi tou\u017e\u00ed o\u017eivit sv\u016fj d\u00e1vno ztracen\u00fd status velmoci a s n\u00edm spojen\u00e9 historick\u00e9 soupe\u0159en\u00ed s Ruskem na \u00fakor Moskvy.<\/span><\/p>\n

* EU bezprecedentn\u011b militarizuje a modernizuje svou vojenskou logistiku<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

De facto l\u00eddr EU \u201e\u00a0<\/span>N\u011bmecko soupe\u0159\u00ed s Polskem o veden\u00ed v boji proti Rusku\u00a0<\/span><\/a>\u201c, a to z velk\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm projekt\u016f obrann\u00fdch zak\u00e1zek v hodnot\u011b\u00a0<\/span>t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 100 miliard dolar\u016f\u00a0<\/span><\/a>, kter\u00e9 schv\u00e1lilo jen v lo\u0148sk\u00e9m roce. EU jako celek se tak\u00e9 militarizuje s pomoc\u00ed\u00a0<\/span>\u201epl\u00e1nu ReArm Europe\u201c v hodnot\u011b 800 miliard eur\u00a0<\/span><\/a>. Aby toho pro Rusko nebylo m\u00e1lo, \u201e\u00a0<\/span>vojensk\u00fd Schengen\u00a0<\/span><\/a>\u201c pro optimalizaci vys\u00edl\u00e1n\u00ed vojsk a vybaven\u00ed sm\u011brem k jeho hranic\u00edm st\u00e1le rychle pokra\u010duje a pobaltsk\u00e9 st\u00e1ty se k n\u011bmu\u00a0<\/span>nov\u011b zav\u00e1zaly\u00a0<\/span><\/a>tak\u00e9 p\u0159ipojit.<\/span><\/p>\n

* Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee Indie proch\u00e1z\u00ed velkou strategickou rekalibrac\u00ed, kter\u00e1 je p\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00e1 k USA.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Indie se za\u010dala p\u0159izp\u016fsobovat n\u011bkter\u00fdm z\u00e1jm\u016fm USA po uzav\u0159en\u00ed\u00a0<\/span>jejich obchodn\u00ed dohody\u00a0<\/span><\/a>, jak je\u00a0<\/span>zde vysv\u011btleno\u00a0<\/span><\/a>. Tato dohoda by mohla v\u00e9st k tomu, \u017ee Rusko p\u0159ijde o des\u00edtky miliard dolar\u016f z rusk\u00fdch rozpo\u010dtov\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edjm\u016f, pokud skute\u010dn\u011b sn\u00ed\u017e\u00ed dovoz rusk\u00e9 ropy, jak USA tvrdily, \u017ee s t\u00edm souhlasily. Tot\u00e9\u017e plat\u00ed pro Indii,\u00a0<\/span>kter\u00e1 se mo\u017en\u00e1 vyhne\u00a0<\/span><\/a>i nov\u00fdm, vysoce investi\u010dn\u00edm vojensko-technick\u00fdm projekt\u016fm Ruska. Tato velkolep\u00e1 strategick\u00e1 rekalibrace, kter\u00e1 je vst\u0159\u00edcn\u00e1 k USA, by mohla tak\u00e9 vyvinout v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed tlak na hlavn\u00edho rusk\u00e9ho \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9ho partnera, a\u00a0<\/span>t\u00edm zm\u011bnit asijskou geopolitiku\u00a0<\/span><\/a>.<\/span><\/p>\n

* Polsko nyn\u00ed chce jadern\u00e9 zbran\u011b a Turecko by brzy mohlo vyhl\u00e1sit stejn\u00fd z\u00e1m\u011br<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Rozhodnut\u00ed USA nechat novou dohodu START propadnout riskuje\u00a0<\/span>glob\u00e1ln\u00ed z\u00e1vody v jadern\u00e9m zbrojen\u00ed\u00a0<\/span><\/a>. Polsko se\u00a0<\/span>odv\u00e1\u017eilo deklarovat\u00a0<\/span><\/a>sv\u00e9 jadern\u00e9 z\u00e1m\u011bry, zat\u00edmco\u00a0<\/span>RT\u00a0<\/span><\/a>zve\u0159ejnila podrobnou zpr\u00e1vu o tom, jak by se Turecko mohlo touto cestou vydat. Ob\u011b zem\u011b jsou historick\u00fdmi rusk\u00fdmi rivaly a vzhledem k tomu, jak Polsko pl\u00e1nuje vybudovat si sf\u00e9ru vlivu ve st\u0159edn\u00ed a v\u00fdchodn\u00ed Evrop\u011b a Turecko ve St\u0159edn\u00ed Asii, jak bylo uvedeno v\u00fd\u0161e, by jejich z\u00edsk\u00e1n\u00ed jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed p\u0159edstavovalo pro Rusko obrovskou hrozbu a zv\u00fd\u0161ilo by pravd\u011bpodobnost jeho zadr\u017een\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

———-<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u011bt geostrategick\u00fdch v\u00fdzev, kter\u00fdm Rusko \u010del\u00ed v p\u00e1t\u00e9m roce sv\u00e9 speci\u00e1ln\u00ed operace, je impozantn\u00edch, ale ne nep\u0159ekonateln\u00fdch. Jak se to v\u017edy d\u011bl\u00e1, od Ruska se o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee si zajist\u00ed svou suverenitu, bezpe\u010dnost a t\u00edm i sv\u00e9 p\u0159e\u017eit\u00ed prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm kreativn\u00ed souhry mezi politickou, vojenskou, zpravodajskou,\u00a0<\/span>diplomatickou\u00a0<\/span><\/a>,\u00a0<\/span>expertn\u00ed\u00a0<\/span><\/a>a\u00a0<\/span>ob\u010danskou spole\u010dnost\u00ed\u00a0<\/span><\/a>. Rusko by se mohlo rozhodnout pro\u00a0<\/span>dohodu\u00a0<\/span><\/a>s USA ohledn\u011b Ukrajiny, aby se v\u00edce zam\u011b\u0159ilo na \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed t\u011bchto v\u00fdzev, ale ne za ka\u017edou cenu, a proto se tak je\u0161t\u011b nestalo.<\/span><\/p>\n

Andrew Korybko, PhD<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Jak se to v\u017edy d\u011bl\u00e1, od Ruska se o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee si zajist\u00ed svou suverenitu, bezpe\u010dnost…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":100385,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,22,1894,276],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/100384"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=100384"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/100384\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/100385"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=100384"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=100384"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=100384"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}