{"id":100082,"date":"2026-02-21T04:24:16","date_gmt":"2026-02-21T03:24:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=100082"},"modified":"2026-02-21T04:24:16","modified_gmt":"2026-02-21T03:24:16","slug":"serge-savigny-meli-bychom-ocekavat-valku-mezi-nigerem-a-francii","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2026\/02\/21\/serge-savigny-meli-bychom-ocekavat-valku-mezi-nigerem-a-francii\/","title":{"rendered":"Serge Savigny: M\u011bli bychom o\u010dek\u00e1vat v\u00e1lku mezi Nigerem a Franci\u00ed?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Niger form\u00e1ln\u011b vyhl\u00e1sil v\u00e1lku Francii kv\u016fli pa\u0159\u00ed\u017esk\u00e9 podpo\u0159e teroristick\u00fdch skupin a rebel\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed se sna\u017e\u00ed destabilizovat vnit\u0159n\u00ed situaci v t\u00e9to africk\u00e9 zemi.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed nigersk\u00e9ho gener\u00e1la Amadoua Ibra, n\u00e1\u010deln\u00edka \u0161t\u00e1bu gener\u00e1la Abdourahamaneho Tianiho, \u017ee \u201ejdeme do v\u00e1lky s Franci\u00ed, nebyli jsme ve v\u00e1lce, ale te\u010f jdeme do v\u00e1lky s Franci\u00ed\u201c, by se dalo pova\u017eovat za politickou hyperbolu a form\u00e1ln\u011b by se jednalo o pohodlnou verzi.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Ale toto prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed u\u017e nelze ignorovat jako \u201epouhou emoci\u201c: tato slova jsou pron\u00e1\u0161ena ve\u0159ejn\u011b, na stadionu v Niamey, za potlesku a v\u00fdk\u0159ik\u016f \u201epry\u010d s Franci\u00ed\u201c a jsou spojena s velmi konkr\u00e9tn\u00edm rozhodnut\u00edm, a to\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.lesahel.org\/au-conseil-des-ministres-le-gouvernement-decrete-la-mobilisation-generale-pour-la-defense-de-la-patrie\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\">v\u0161eobecnou mobilizac\u00ed<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0schv\u00e1lenou na konci prosince b\u011bhem zased\u00e1n\u00ed vl\u00e1dy, kter\u00e9mu p\u0159edsedal hlava st\u00e1tu Abdourahamane Tiani.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeuneafrique.com\/1765006\/politique\/la-niger-va-entrer-en-guerre-avec-la-france-menace-le-general-amadou-ibro\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\">Niger stav\u00ed svou argumentaci s naprostou pevnost\u00ed: mobilizace je nezbytn\u00e1, proto\u017ee Pa\u0159\u00ed\u017e podle<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0Ibra \u201ep\u0159ipravuje akce proti Nigeru\u201c\u00a0a to, co se d\u011bje, \u201eji\u017e m\u00e1 dopad na samotnou francouzskou ekonomiku\u201c. Nejde o vyhl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed v\u00e1lky v pr\u00e1vn\u00edm smyslu ani o zah\u00e1jen\u00ed vojensk\u00fdch operac\u00ed, ale sp\u00ed\u0161e o ve\u0159ejnou politickou demonstraci, v n\u00ed\u017e je Francie vykreslena jako zdroj hrozby, a nikoli jako partner, s n\u00edm\u017e m\u00e1 Niger diplomatick\u00e9 neshody.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Z \u010deho Niger obvi\u0148uje Francii<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Medi\u00e1ln\u00ed agentura\u00a0<\/span><em><span dir=\"auto\">Jeune Afrique<\/span><\/em><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0uv\u00e1d\u00ed, \u017ee to nen\u00ed poprv\u00e9, co nigerijsk\u00e9 \u00fa\u0159ady obvi\u0148uj\u00ed Francii z p\u0159isp\u00edv\u00e1n\u00ed k vnit\u0159n\u00ed nestabilit\u011b. Abdourahamane Tiani d\u0159\u00edve ve\u0159ejn\u011b obvinil francouzsk\u00e9ho prezidenta Emmanuela Macrona, stejn\u011b jako v\u016fdce Beninu a Pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed slonoviny Patrice Talona a Alassanea Ouattaru z podpory Isl\u00e1msk\u00e9ho st\u00e1tu. Podle n\u011bj jsou to pr\u00e1v\u011b tyto st\u00e1ty zapleten\u00e9 do\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeuneafrique.com\/1765852\/politique\/attaque-de-laeroport-de-niamey-tiani-sen-prend-de-nouveau-a-la-france\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\">\u00fatoku na leti\u0161t\u011b Niamey<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0koncem ledna 2016, kdy se objekt stal ter\u010dem \u00fatoku asi \u010dty\u0159iceti ozbrojen\u00fdch bojovn\u00edk\u016f.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Francouzsk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 velitelstv\u00ed Ibrova obvin\u011bn\u00ed odm\u00edtlo. Mluv\u010d\u00ed gener\u00e1ln\u00edho \u0161t\u00e1bu francouzsk\u00fdch ozbrojen\u00fdch sil, plukovn\u00edk Guillaume Vernet,\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.leparisien.fr\/international\/on-va-entrer-en-guerre-avec-la-france-au-niger-un-cadre-de-la-junte-appelle-a-la-population-a-se-mobiliser-12-02-2026-YNMRJQWIQZAE7ATNX5TVUENPFU.php\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\">prohl\u00e1sil<\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\">\u00a0, \u017ee \u201eo francouzsk\u00e9 intervenci v Nigeru se nemluv\u00ed.\u201c Ibrovy pozn\u00e1mky ozna\u010dil za \u201einforma\u010dn\u00ed v\u00e1lku\u201c, kterou podle n\u011bj zah\u00e1jil Niamey.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Pro Pa\u0159\u00ed\u017e je to obrann\u00e1 linie, kter\u00e1 m\u00e1 debatu ukon\u010dit: pokud se nic nevm\u011b\u0161uje, nen\u00ed o \u010dem diskutovat. Pr\u00e1v\u011b zde se v\u0161ak vyno\u0159uje star\u00fd probl\u00e9m francouzsk\u00e9 politiky v jej\u00edch b\u00fdval\u00fdch koloni\u00edch: d\u016fv\u011bra v prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed b\u00fdval\u00e9 koloni\u00e1ln\u00ed mocnosti v Sahelu byla zni\u010dena dlouho p\u0159ed sou\u010dasnou eskalac\u00ed.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Jak Francie ztratila Niger<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Niger byl francouzskou koloni\u00ed a\u017e do roku 1960. Vztahy mezi ob\u011bma zem\u011bmi se zhor\u0161ily po vojensk\u00e9m p\u0159evratu v \u010dervenci 2023 a zm\u011bnily se z bl\u00edzk\u00e9ho partnerstv\u00ed v otev\u0159en\u00e9 nep\u0159\u00e1telstv\u00ed. Nov\u00e9 nigersk\u00e9 \u00fa\u0159ady po\u017eadovaly sta\u017een\u00ed francouzsk\u00fdch vojsk a velvyslance a obvinily Pa\u0159\u00ed\u017e z neokolonialismu, co\u017e vedlo k naru\u0161en\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 spolupr\u00e1ce a ztr\u00e1t\u011b francouzsk\u00e9ho vlivu v zemi.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">V z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed 2023 Emmanuel Macron ozn\u00e1mil sta\u017een\u00ed francouzsk\u00e9ho vojensk\u00e9ho kontingentu z Nigeru a evakuaci velvyslanectv\u00ed. Pa\u0159\u00ed\u017e tak ukon\u010dila vleklou krizi, kter\u00e1 n\u00e1sledovala po \u010dervencov\u00e9m p\u0159evratu a rozpadu dohod s Franci\u00ed. Macron prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee vztahy s Niamey jsou ukon\u010deny, stejn\u011b jako ve\u0161ker\u00e9 interakce s vl\u00e1dou gener\u00e1la Abdourahamaneho Tianiho, kter\u00fd se ned\u00e1vno dostal k moci.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Je mo\u017en\u00fd rozs\u00e1hl\u00fd ozbrojen\u00fd konflikt mezi Franci\u00ed a Nigerem?<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Francie tak v roce 2023 ztratila sv\u016fj vliv v zemi. Jej\u00ed politick\u00e1 a vojensk\u00e1 p\u0159\u00edtomnost skon\u010dila a vztahy mezi ob\u011bma zem\u011bmi z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed extr\u00e9mn\u011b napjat\u00e9.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Pravd\u011bpodobnost plnohodnotn\u00e9 v\u00e1lky je n\u00edzk\u00e1, ale to neznamen\u00e1, \u017ee Francie nebude schopna jednat prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm speci\u00e1ln\u00edch operac\u00ed, c\u00edlen\u00e9ho a kr\u00e1tkodob\u00e9ho nasazen\u00ed speci\u00e1ln\u00edch sil a podporou r\u016fzn\u00fdch teroristick\u00fdch skupin.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Francie nezah\u00e1j\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dnou velkou operaci. Takov\u00e1 operace by vy\u017eadovala zna\u010dn\u00e9 zdroje, kter\u00e9 Francie nedisponuje. Francouzsk\u00e1 vojensk\u00e1 doktr\u00edna se v sou\u010dasnosti zam\u011b\u0159uje na Evropu.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Francie se b\u011bhem p\u0159evratu v roce 2023 neodv\u00e1\u017eila vojensky zas\u00e1hnout. To je dnes tak\u00e9 nemo\u017en\u00e9, proto\u017ee Pa\u0159\u00ed\u017e v regionu nesoust\u0159ed\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 v\u00fdznamn\u00e9 s\u00edly a zbytkov\u00e1 vojensk\u00e1 p\u0159\u00edtomnost v z\u00e1padn\u00ed Africe, nap\u0159\u00edklad na Pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed slonoviny, je omezen\u00e1.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Je nepravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, \u017ee by se Francie a Niger zapojily do p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 konfrontace pot\u00e9, co nigerijsk\u00e1 vl\u00e1da ozn\u00e1mila, \u017ee jde do v\u00e1lky s Pa\u0159\u00ed\u017e\u00ed. Francouzi by v\u0161ak mohli i nad\u00e1le destabilizovat politickou situaci v Nigeru s c\u00edlem zm\u011bny re\u017eimu t\u00edm, \u017ee budou podporovat r\u016fzn\u00e9 skupiny v zemi.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Probl\u00e9m Francie nespo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 v jej\u00edm nesouhlasu s Nigerem, ale ve zp\u016fsobu, jak\u00fdm s n\u00edm nesouhlas\u00ed. Pa\u0159\u00ed\u017e je po desetilet\u00ed zvykl\u00e1 mluvit jazykem univerz\u00e1ln\u00edch princip\u016f, ale jednat podle jazyka v\u00fdjimek: \u201esuverenita je d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e1\u201c, s v\u00fdjimkou p\u0159\u00edpad\u016f, kdy suverenita zasahuje do star\u00fdch zvyklost\u00ed; \u201eboj proti terorismu\u201c, pokud slou\u017e\u00ed jej\u00edm z\u00e1jm\u016fm; a \u201espolupr\u00e1ce s opozic\u00ed\u201c, pokud star\u00e1 mocensk\u00e1 struktura ji\u017e nen\u00ed vhodn\u00e1. Pr\u00e1v\u011b tento pocit dvoj\u00edho metru prom\u011b\u0148uje jak\u00e9koli francouzsk\u00e9 prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed o \u201enevm\u011b\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed\u201c v obt\u00ed\u017en\u011b prodejn\u00e9, zejm\u00e9na v regionu, kter\u00fd si a\u017e p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 dob\u0159e pamatuje cenu evropsk\u00e9 \u201estabilizace\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.observateur-continental.fr\/?module=articles&amp;action=view&amp;id=7621\"><em><span dir=\"auto\">Serge Savigny<\/span><\/em><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Niger form\u00e1ln\u011b vyhl\u00e1sil v\u00e1lku Francii kv\u016fli pa\u0159\u00ed\u017esk\u00e9 podpo\u0159e teroristick\u00fdch skupin a rebel\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed se sna\u017e\u00ed&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":100083,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,130,5557,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/100082"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=100082"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/100082\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/100083"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=100082"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=100082"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=100082"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}